Piratas 54%Draw 24%CA La Paz 22%Expected goals 1.85 – 1.18
78%
Betarazi pick
Piratas or draw
Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultPiratas to win54% · @1.81
Double chancePiratas or draw78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals79% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.24
Piratas vs CA La Paz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Piratas welcome CA La Paz for a Liga De Expansión MX fixture on Thursday 12 November (01:00 WAT). In the table, Piratas are 4th, among the top four, on 25 points after 15 matches; CA La Paz are 1st (leading the league) with 30.
Current form
Piratas, last 5: DDDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Cancún, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
CA La Paz, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Tlaxcala, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.
Momentum favours CA La Paz, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for Piratas.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Aug 2026) it ended CA La Paz 2–0 Piratas.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Piratas 1.8 xG, CA La Paz 1.2 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Piratas 54%, draw 24%, CA La Paz 22%.
Lower-risk option: Piratas or draw (78%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.57.
Betarazi verdict
Our call: Piratas or draw (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Piratas 1–1 CA La Paz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Piratas54%fair 1.87 · @1.81
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.70
CA La Paz22%fair 4.46 · @3.80
3.03Expected goals
1.85Piratas xG
1.18CA La Paz xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–26%
3–16%
From our goals model: Piratas 1.8 – 1.2 CA La Paz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Piratas
CA La Paz
Attack vs Liga De Expansión MX average
+12%
+32%
Goals conceded vs average
-26%
-14%
Our expected goals here
1.77
1.19
Our own ratings from every Liga De Expansión MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Piratas or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Piratas vs CA La Paz?
On our numbers Piratas have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 24% and CA La Paz 22%.
How many goals will there be in Piratas vs CA La Paz?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Piratas vs CA La Paz?
Our predicted score is Piratas 1–1 CA La Paz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Piratas vs CA La Paz?
Piratas vs CA La Paz (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
