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América PE v Vera Cruz: numbers & prediction

Pernambucano 1 · Brazil
Sat 14 Nov 2026
América PE 63%Draw 24%Vera Cruz 13% Expected goals 1.64 – 0.56
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.33

8/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultAmérica PE to win63% · @1.45
Double chanceAmérica PE or draw87% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score53% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–018% · fair 5.51

América PE vs Vera Cruz: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

América PE welcome Vera Cruz for a Pernambucano 1 fixture on Saturday 14 November (22:00 WAT).

Current form

América PE, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Ipojuca, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Vera Cruz, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Guarany de Sobral, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours América PE, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Vera Cruz.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Nov 2026) it ended América PE 1–0 Vera Cruz.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give América PE 1.6 xG, Vera Cruz 0.6 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 47%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – América PE 63%, draw 24%, Vera Cruz 13%.
  • GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.67.

Betarazi verdict

We are going with Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: América PE 1–0 Vera Cruz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

América PE63%fair 1.57 · @1.45
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.70
Vera Cruz13%fair 7.95 · @6.50
2.20Expected goals
1.64América PE xG
0.56Vera Cruz xG
47%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%
2–015%
0–011%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%

From our goals model: América PE 1.6 – 0.6 Vera Cruz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

América PEVera Cruz
Attack vs Pernambucano 1 average+41%-23%
Goals conceded vs average-43%-19%
Our expected goals here1.480.49

Our own ratings from every Pernambucano 1 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAmérica PE to win63%1.571.45
Double chanceAmérica PE or draw87%1.141.08
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score53%1.891.67
Draw no betAmérica PE (draw no bet)83%1.20–
Asian handicapAmérica PE -0.5 (Asian handicap)64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals69%1.451.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals57%1.761.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals76%1.311.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals89%1.131.11
First team to scoreAmérica PE to score first66%1.51–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT América PE / FT América PE40%2.53–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–018%5.51–

Recent results

América PE – last 5

DWWWD
7 Novvs Ipojuca0–0D
1 Novvs Vera Cruz1–0W
29 Oct@ Guarany de Sobral7–0W
24 Oct@ Sete de Setembro2–0W
20 Octvs Íbis1–1D
2.2Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Vera Cruz – last 5

LLDDW
7 Novvs Guarany de Sobral0–1L
1 Nov@ América PE0–1L
27 Octvs Íbis1–1D
24 Oct@ Ipojuca1–1D
18 Octvs Sete de Setembro2–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Nov 2026América PE v Vera Cruz1–0
América PE vs Vera Cruz head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for América PE vs Vera Cruz?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win América PE vs Vera Cruz?

On our numbers América PE have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Vera Cruz 13%.

How many goals will there be in América PE vs Vera Cruz?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for América PE vs Vera Cruz?

Our predicted score is América PE 1–0 Vera Cruz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is América PE vs Vera Cruz?

América PE vs Vera Cruz (Pernambucano 1) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.