Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 51% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultPetrolina to win55% · @1.57
Double chancePetrolina or draw81% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.26
Petrolina vs Belo Jardim: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Petrolina welcome Belo Jardim for a Pernambucano 1 fixture on Sunday 15 November (20:00 WAT).
Current form
Petrolina, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Cha Grande, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Belo Jardim, last 5: WLDDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Facilnet, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Petrolina, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for Belo Jardim.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Petrolina 1.4 xG, Belo Jardim 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Petrolina 55%, draw 26%, Belo Jardim 19%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.25.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 51%.
Betarazi verdict
Our call: Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Petrolina 1–0 Belo Jardim. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Petrolina55%fair 1.81 · @1.57
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.60
Belo Jardim19%fair 5.26 · @5.00
2.27Expected goals
1.43Petrolina xG
0.83Belo Jardim xG
51%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–112%
2–011%
0–010%
2–19%
0–19%
From our goals model: Petrolina 1.4 – 0.8 Belo Jardim expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Petrolina
Belo Jardim
Attack vs Pernambucano 1 average
+30%
+13%
Goals conceded vs average
-32%
-30%
Our expected goals here
1.20
0.86
Our own ratings from every Pernambucano 1 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Petrolina to win
55%
1.81
1.57
Double chance
Petrolina or draw
81%
1.23
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.95
2.25 ▲
Draw no bet
Petrolina (draw no bet)
74%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Belo Jardim +1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
66%
1.51
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
59%
1.70
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
79%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
90%
1.11
1.07
First team to score
Petrolina to score first
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Petrolina / FT Petrolina
30%
3.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.26
–
Recent results
Petrolina – last 6
DDWWWW
11 Nov
vs Cha Grande
1–1
D
8 Nov
@ Facilnet
0–0
D
31 Oct
vs Ferroviario do Cabo
7–1
W
28 Oct
vs 1º de Maio
3–1
W
25 Oct
@ Salgueiro
1–0
W
17 Oct
vs Afogados
1–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Belo Jardim – last 6
WLDDDW
11 Nov
@ Facilnet
2–0
W
8 Nov
@ Central SC
1–2
L
1 Nov
vs Ypiranga PE
1–1
D
28 Oct
vs Cha Grande
0–0
D
24 Oct
@ Pesqueira
0–0
D
18 Oct
vs Porto
4–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Petrolina and Belo Jardim.
What is the prediction for Petrolina vs Belo Jardim?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Petrolina vs Belo Jardim?
On our numbers Petrolina have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Belo Jardim 19%.
How many goals will there be in Petrolina vs Belo Jardim?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Petrolina vs Belo Jardim?
Our predicted score is Petrolina 1–0 Belo Jardim, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Petrolina vs Belo Jardim?
Petrolina vs Belo Jardim (Pernambucano 1) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
