Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultLatvia to win ✓53% · @1.45
Double chanceLatvia or draw ✓80% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓15% · fair 6.65
Gibraltar vs Latvia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gibraltar welcome Latvia for a UEFA Nations League fixture on Thursday 26 March (18:00 WAT). In the table, Gibraltar are 2nd on 2 points after 2 matches; Latvia are 4th with 1. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gibraltar 0.9 xG, Latvia 1.2 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gibraltar 20%, draw 27%, Latvia 53%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gibraltar 0–1 Latvia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gibraltar20%fair 5.12 · @8.10
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @3.90
Latvia53%fair 1.88 · @1.45
2.09Expected goals
0.87Gibraltar xG
1.21Latvia xG
49%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Gibraltar 0.9 – 1.2 Latvia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Gibraltar
Latvia
Attack vs UEFA Nations League average
-23%
-22%
Goals conceded vs average
-12%
+4%
Our expected goals here
0.98
0.85
Our own ratings from every UEFA Nations League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Latvia to win✓
53%
1.88
1.45
Double chance
Latvia or draw✓
80%
1.24
1.07
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.50
Draw no bet
Latvia (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Gibraltar +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.09
1.06
First team to score
Latvia to score first✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Latvia / FT Latvia✗
25%
3.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
15%
6.65
–
Recent results
Gibraltar
No recent results on record.
Latvia
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gibraltar and Latvia.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Gibraltar vs Latvia?
On our numbers Gibraltar have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Latvia 53%.
How many goals will there be in Gibraltar vs Latvia?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gibraltar vs Latvia?
Our predicted score is Gibraltar 0–1 Latvia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Gibraltar vs Latvia?
Gibraltar vs Latvia (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Thursday 26 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Malta0
Luxembourg2