Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
Picks by market
ResultLatvia to win ✓60% · @1.17
Double chanceLatvia or draw ✓83% · @1.02
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.28
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.41
Latvia vs Gibraltar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Tuesday 31 March: Latvia v Gibraltar in the UEFA Nations League, played at Skonto. In the table, Latvia are 4th on 1 points after 4 matches; Gibraltar are 2nd with 2. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Head to head
When they last met (26 Mar 2026) it ended Gibraltar 0–1 Latvia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Latvia 1.3 xG, Gibraltar 0.8 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Latvia 60%, draw 22%, Gibraltar 17%.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.28.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Latvia 1–0 Gibraltar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Latvia60%fair 1.66 · @1.17
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @5.80
Gibraltar17%fair 5.74 · @23.00
2.10Expected goals
1.28Latvia xG
0.83Gibraltar xG
46%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
1–113%
0–012%
0–110%
2–010%
2–18%
From our goals model: Latvia 1.3 – 0.8 Gibraltar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Latvia
Gibraltar
Attack vs UEFA Nations League average
-22%
-23%
Goals conceded vs average
+4%
-12%
Our expected goals here
0.84
0.99
Our own ratings from every UEFA Nations League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Latvia vs Gibraltar?
On our numbers Latvia have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Gibraltar 17%.
How many goals will there be in Latvia vs Gibraltar?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Latvia vs Gibraltar?
Our predicted score is Latvia 1–0 Gibraltar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Latvia vs Gibraltar?
Latvia vs Gibraltar (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Skonto.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Luxembourg3
Malta0