Sweden U21 58%Draw 23%Montenegro U21 20%Expected goals 1.84 – 1.24
62%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultSweden U21 to win ✗58% · @1.35
Double chanceSweden U21 or draw ✓80% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.36
Sweden U21 vs Montenegro U21: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Montenegro U21 travel to face Sweden U21 on Friday 27 March in the UEFA U21 Championship Qualification, with Boras Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 18:30 WAT. In the table, Sweden U21 are 3rd on 18 points after 10 matches; Montenegro U21 are 5th with 11.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sweden U21 1.8 xG, Montenegro U21 1.2 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sweden U21 58%, draw 23%, Montenegro U21 20%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (62%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sweden U21 1–1 Montenegro U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sweden U2158%fair 1.74 · @1.35
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @4.60
Montenegro U2120%fair 5.03 · @7.00
3.09Expected goals
1.84Sweden U21 xG
1.24Montenegro U21 xG
59%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–08%
2–08%
1–26%
2–26%
From our goals model: Sweden U21 1.8 – 1.2 Montenegro U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sweden U21
Montenegro U21
Attack vs UEFA U21 Championship Qualification average
-15%
-14%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
-6%
Our expected goals here
1.48
1.33
Our own ratings from every UEFA U21 Championship Qualification result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sweden U21 to win✗
58%
1.74
1.35
Double chance
Sweden U21 or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.75
Draw no bet
Sweden U21 (draw no bet)
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Montenegro U21 +1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
First team to score
Sweden U21 to score first
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
Sweden U21 ahead at half-time✗
39%
2.58
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sweden U21 / FT Sweden U21✗
32%
3.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.36
–
Recent results
Sweden U21
No recent results on record.
Montenegro U21
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sweden U21 and Montenegro U21.
What is the prediction for Sweden U21 vs Montenegro U21?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Sweden U21 vs Montenegro U21?
On our numbers Sweden U21 have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Montenegro U21 20%.
How many goals will there be in Sweden U21 vs Montenegro U21?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sweden U21 vs Montenegro U21?
Our predicted score is Sweden U21 1–1 Montenegro U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Sweden U21 vs Montenegro U21?
Sweden U21 vs Montenegro U21 (UEFA U21 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Friday 27 March 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Boras Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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