Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 54% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBulgaria U21 to win ✗62% · @1.28
Double chanceBulgaria U21 or draw ✓84% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.20
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.15
Bulgaria U21 vs Azerbaijan U21: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Azerbaijan U21 travel to face Bulgaria U21 on Tuesday 31 March in the UEFA U21 Championship Qualification, with Stadion Hristo Botev the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Bulgaria U21 are 5th on 10 points after 10 matches; Azerbaijan U21 are 5th with 7. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bulgaria U21 1.8 xG, Azerbaijan U21 1.1 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bulgaria U21 62%, draw 22%, Azerbaijan U21 16%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bulgaria U21 1–1 Azerbaijan U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bulgaria U2162%fair 1.61 · @1.28
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @4.50
Azerbaijan U2116%fair 6.14 · @11.00
2.89Expected goals
1.82Bulgaria U21 xG
1.07Azerbaijan U21 xG
54%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
3–16%
0–16%
From our goals model: Bulgaria U21 1.8 – 1.1 Azerbaijan U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Bulgaria U21
Azerbaijan U21
Attack vs UEFA U21 Championship Qualification average
-24%
+1%
Goals conceded vs average
-14%
+13%
Our expected goals here
1.59
1.30
Our own ratings from every UEFA U21 Championship Qualification result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bulgaria U21 to win✗
62%
1.61
1.28
Double chance
Bulgaria U21 or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
Bulgaria U21 (draw no bet)
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Azerbaijan U21 +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Bulgaria U21 to score first✗
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Bulgaria U21 ahead at half-time✗
40%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bulgaria U21 / FT Bulgaria U21✗
34%
2.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.15
–
Recent results
Bulgaria U21 – last 1
W
27 Mar
@ Gibraltar U21
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Azerbaijan U21 – last 1
L
27 Mar
vs Portugal U21
0–4
L
0.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bulgaria U21 and Azerbaijan U21.
What is the prediction for Bulgaria U21 vs Azerbaijan U21?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Bulgaria U21 vs Azerbaijan U21?
On our numbers Bulgaria U21 have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Azerbaijan U21 16%.
How many goals will there be in Bulgaria U21 vs Azerbaijan U21?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bulgaria U21 vs Azerbaijan U21?
Our predicted score is Bulgaria U21 1–1 Azerbaijan U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Bulgaria U21 vs Azerbaijan U21?
Bulgaria U21 vs Azerbaijan U21 (UEFA U21 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Hristo Botev.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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