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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

England U21 v Moldova U21: numbers & prediction

UEFA U21 Championship Qualification · Europe · Carrow Road

England U21

D
4–1
FT

Moldova U21

D
England U21 70%Draw 16%Moldova U21 14% Expected goals 1.96 – 0.98
51%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.95 · bookmaker 2.55 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
2.55Odds

Picks by market

ResultEngland U21 to win ✓70% · @1.04
Double chanceEngland U21 or draw ✓86% · fair 1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05

England U21 vs Moldova U21: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Moldova U21 travel to face England U21 on Tuesday 31 March in the UEFA U21 Championship Qualification, with Carrow Road the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, England U21 are 1st on 25 points after 10 matches; Moldova U21 are 3rd with 12. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give England U21 2.0 xG, Moldova U21 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – England U21 70%, draw 16%, Moldova U21 14%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (51%, odds 2.55 – longer than our fair 1.95, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: England U21 1–0 Moldova U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

England U2170%fair 1.42 · @1.04
Draw16%fair 6.23 · @9.40
Moldova U2114%fair 7.31 · @34.00
2.94Expected goals
1.96England U21 xG
0.98Moldova U21 xG
51%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–010%
2–010%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%

From our goals model: England U21 2.0 – 1.0 Moldova U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

England U21Moldova U21
Attack vs UEFA U21 Championship Qualification average+1%-9%
Goals conceded vs average-3%-7%
Our expected goals here1.741.33

Our own ratings from every UEFA U21 Championship Qualification result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEngland U21 to win ✓70%1.421.04
Double chanceEngland U21 or draw ✓86%1.16–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.972.55 ▲
Draw no betEngland U21 (draw no bet) ✓84%1.19–
Asian handicapEngland U21 -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.78–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗51%1.952.55 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗69%1.461.70 ▲
First team to scoreEngland U21 to score first ✓63%1.58–
Half-time resultEngland U21 ahead at half-time ✓44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT England U21 / FT England U21 ✓38%2.62–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.05–

Recent results

England U21 – last 1

D
27 Mar@ Andorra U211–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Moldova U21 – last 1

D
26 Mar@ Republic of Ireland U211–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between England U21 and Moldova U21.

England U21 vs Moldova U21 head-to-head page →

UEFA U21 Championship Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Netherlands U2110820+2926
2Switzerland U2110721+1623
3Moldova U2110334-512
4Wales U2110325+111
5Bulgaria U2110244-110
6Gibraltar U2110019-401

More UEFA U21 Championship Qualification predictions

League hub
FT Latvia U211 Northern Ireland U213 132%3.10X25%3.20243%2.15 1.2–1.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.25 ✗
FT Montenegro U210 Poland U211 126%4.75X24%3.75250%1.60 1.5–1.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 80%@1.22 ✗
FT Slovenia U212 Norway U210 125%3.60X21%3.70254%1.80 1.3–1.9xG GGBoth teams to score 62%@1.53 ✗
FT Armenia U210 North Macedonia U212 138%2.65X25%3.30237%2.38 1.5–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓
FT Hungary U211 Ukraine U212 133%3.20X24%3.45243%2.00 1.4–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓
FT Finland U213 Cyprus U210 179%1.11X14%7.2027%18.00 3.0–0.9xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 71%@1.36 ✓
FT Czech Republic U215 Gibraltar U210 178%1.03X14%15.0027%66.00 2.4–0.7xG NGNot both teams to score 52%@1.30 ✓
FT Kazakhstan U210 Republic of Ireland U211 123%4.50X22%3.60256%1.67 1.4–2.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 80%@1.25 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for England U21 vs Moldova U21?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.55.

Who will win England U21 vs Moldova U21?

On our numbers England U21 have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Moldova U21 14%.

How many goals will there be in England U21 vs Moldova U21?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for England U21 vs Moldova U21?

Our predicted score is England U21 1–0 Moldova U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is England U21 vs Moldova U21?

England U21 vs Moldova U21 (UEFA U21 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Carrow Road.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.