Estonia U21 vs France U21: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Tuesday 29 September: Estonia U21 v France U21 in the UEFA U21 Championship Qualification, played at Parnu Rannastaadion. In the table, Estonia U21 are 6th on 0 points after 10 matches; France U21 are 1st with 26. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Estonia U21, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Faroe Islands U21, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 3.3 conceded per game.
France U21, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Japan U18, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours France U21, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.0 for Estonia U21.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Estonia U21 1.0 xG, France U21 2.9 xG – a total near 3.9. That is an open game on paper: 75% for three or more goals, 56% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Estonia U21 9%, draw 16%, France U21 75%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.20.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 2.20 – longer than our fair 1.80, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Estonia U21 1–2 France U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Estonia U219%fair 10.90 · @29.00
Draw16%fair 6.37 · @17.00
France U2175%fair 1.33 · @1.04
3.93Expected goals
1.01Estonia U21 xG
2.92France U21 xG
56%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–28%
0–28%
1–38%
0–38%
1–46%
0–46%
From our goals model: Estonia U21 1.0 – 2.9 France U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
France U21 to win✓
75%
1.33
1.04
Double chance
France U21 or draw✓
91%
1.10
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
France U21 (draw no bet)✓
89%
1.12
–
Asian handicap
France U21 -1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
First team to score
France U21 to score first✓
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
France U21 ahead at half-time✓
58%
1.74
–
Half-time / full-time
HT France U21 / FT France U21✓
53%
1.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.81
–
Recent results
Estonia U21 – last 3
LLL
25 Sep
vs Faroe Islands U21
1–2
L
31 Mar
@ Switzerland U21
1–2
L
26 Mar
@ Iceland U21
2–6
L
1.3Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
France U21 – last 6
LWDDWW
27 Sep
vs Japan U18
1–3
L
25 Sep
vs Ukraine U18
1–0
W
25 Sep
@ Iceland U21
1–1
D
23 Sep
vs Austria U18
1–1
D
30 Mar
vs Iceland U21
2–1
W
26 Mar
@ Luxembourg U21
5–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estonia U21 and France U21.
What is the prediction for Estonia U21 vs France U21?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.20.
Who will win Estonia U21 vs France U21?
On our numbers Estonia U21 have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 16% and France U21 75%.
How many goals will there be in Estonia U21 vs France U21?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estonia U21 vs France U21?
Our predicted score is Estonia U21 1–2 France U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Estonia U21 vs France U21?
Estonia U21 vs France U21 (UEFA U21 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Parnu Rannastaadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.