Value bet: Israel U21 to win @ 3.40 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSlovenia U21 to win ✗43% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.60
Slovenia U21 vs Israel U21: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Slovenia U21 welcome Israel U21 to Mestni stadion Fazanerija for a UEFA U21 Championship Qualification fixture on Tuesday 29 September (15:00 WAT). In the table, Slovenia U21 are 3rd, among the top four, on 16 points after 10 matches; Israel U21 are 8th (in the drop zone) with 13. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Slovenia U21, last 3: DWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Albania U21, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Slovenia U21 1.2 xG, Israel U21 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Slovenia U21 43%, draw 24%, Israel U21 33%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Israel U21 to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Slovenia U21 1–1 Israel U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Slovenia U2143%fair 2.30 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @2.90
Israel U2133%fair 3.07 · @3.40
2.17Expected goals
1.19Slovenia U21 xG
0.98Israel U21 xG
53%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Slovenia U21 1.2 – 1.0 Israel U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Slovenia U21 to win✗
43%
2.30
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
1.80
Draw no bet
Slovenia U21 (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Israel U21 +1 (Asian handicap)✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Slovenia U21 to score first
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Slovenia U21 / FT Slovenia U21✗
23%
4.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.60
–
Recent results
Slovenia U21 – last 3
DWD
5 Jun
vs Albania U21
1–1
D
31 Mar
vs Norway U21
2–0
W
27 Mar
@ Bosnia-Herzegovina U21
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Israel U21 – last 2
DW
31 Mar
vs Bosnia-Herzegovina U21
0–0
D
26 Mar
@ Hungary U21
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Slovenia U21 and Israel U21.
What is the prediction for Slovenia U21 vs Israel U21?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Slovenia U21 vs Israel U21?
On our numbers Slovenia U21 have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Israel U21 33%.
How many goals will there be in Slovenia U21 vs Israel U21?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Slovenia U21 vs Israel U21?
Our predicted score is Slovenia U21 1–1 Israel U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Slovenia U21 vs Israel U21?
Slovenia U21 vs Israel U21 (UEFA U21 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Mestni stadion Fazanerija.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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