Scotland U21 vs Azerbaijan U21: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 30 September the UEFA U21 Championship Qualification brings Scotland U21 against Azerbaijan U21 at Rugby Park. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT. In the table, Scotland U21 are 4th on 7 points after 8 matches; Azerbaijan U21 are 5th with 7. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Azerbaijan U21, last 5: DLWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Czech Republic U21, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.6 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Scotland U21 2.5 xG, Azerbaijan U21 0.8 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 55% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Scotland U21 75%, draw 16%, Azerbaijan U21 10%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.83, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Scotland U21 2–1 Azerbaijan U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Scotland U2175%fair 1.34 · @1.15
Draw16%fair 6.39 · @6.50
Azerbaijan U2110%fair 10.26 · @13.00
3.31Expected goals
2.51Scotland U21 xG
0.80Azerbaijan U21 xG
55%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
3–010%
2–19%
1–09%
3–18%
1–17%
From our goals model: Scotland U21 2.5 – 0.8 Azerbaijan U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Scotland U21 to win✓
75%
1.34
1.15
Double chance
Scotland U21 or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Scotland U21 (draw no bet)✓
88%
1.13
–
Asian handicap
Scotland U21 -1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
First team to score
Scotland U21 to score first
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Scotland U21 ahead at half-time✓
55%
1.82
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Scotland U21 / FT Scotland U21✓
51%
1.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.87
–
Recent results
Scotland U21 – last 2
LD
31 Mar
@ Portugal U21
0–3
L
27 Mar
vs Czech Republic U21
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Azerbaijan U21 – last 5
DLWDL
25 Sep
vs Czech Republic U21
1–1
D
9 Jun
vs Kyrgyz Republic U20
1–3
L
6 Jun
vs Bahrain U20
3–0
W
31 Mar
@ Bulgaria U21
0–0
D
27 Mar
vs Portugal U21
0–4
L
1.0Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Scotland U21 and Azerbaijan U21.
What is the prediction for Scotland U21 vs Azerbaijan U21?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Scotland U21 vs Azerbaijan U21?
On our numbers Scotland U21 have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Azerbaijan U21 10%.
How many goals will there be in Scotland U21 vs Azerbaijan U21?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Scotland U21 vs Azerbaijan U21?
Our predicted score is Scotland U21 2–1 Azerbaijan U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Scotland U21 vs Azerbaijan U21?
Scotland U21 vs Azerbaijan U21 (UEFA U21 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Rugby Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Faroe Islands U210
Luxembourg U211
Czech Republic U211
Bulgaria U210
Romania U210
Poland U213
Sweden U210
Malta U211
Germany U214
Kosovo U212
Cyprus U211