Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultPoland U21 to win ✓67% · @1.57
Double chancePoland U21 or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.65
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · fair 1.52
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.35
Poland U21 vs Sweden U21: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sweden U21 travel to face Poland U21 on Wednesday 30 September in the UEFA U21 Championship Qualification, with Arena Katowice the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Poland U21 are 3rd on 18 points after 10 matches; Sweden U21 are 3rd with 18. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sweden U21, last 3: LLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Finland U21, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Poland U21 2.4 xG, Sweden U21 1.0 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Poland U21 67%, draw 20%, Sweden U21 14%.
Lower-risk option: Poland U21 or draw (86%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Poland U21 to win (67%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.50, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Poland U21 2–1 Sweden U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Poland U2167%fair 1.50 · @1.57
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @3.80
Sweden U2114%fair 7.36 · @4.33
3.38Expected goals
2.37Poland U21 xG
1.01Sweden U21 xG
60%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–010%
1–18%
1–08%
3–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Poland U21 2.4 – 1.0 Sweden U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Poland U21 to win✓
67%
1.50
1.57
Double chance
Poland U21 or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.65
Draw no bet
Poland U21 (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Poland U21 -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
First team to score
Poland U21 to score first✓
68%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Poland U21 ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Poland U21 / FT Poland U21✓
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.35
–
Recent results
Poland U21 – last 2
WW
31 Mar
@ Montenegro U21
1–0
W
27 Mar
vs Armenia U21
4–1
W
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sweden U21 – last 3
LLD
4 Jun
vs Finland U21
1–3
L
31 Mar
vs Italy U21
0–4
L
27 Mar
vs Montenegro U21
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Poland U21 and Sweden U21.
What is the prediction for Poland U21 vs Sweden U21?
Our pick is Poland U21 to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Poland U21 vs Sweden U21?
On our numbers Poland U21 have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sweden U21 14%.
How many goals will there be in Poland U21 vs Sweden U21?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Poland U21 vs Sweden U21?
Our predicted score is Poland U21 2–1 Sweden U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Poland U21 vs Sweden U21?
Poland U21 vs Sweden U21 (UEFA U21 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Katowice.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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