Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 52% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultJuventus to win ✓65% · @1.35
Double chanceJuventus or draw ✓87% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.57
Juventus vs Genoa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Genoa travel to face Juventus on Monday 6 April in the Serie A, with Allianz Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Juventus are 7th, upper half, on 18 points after 11 matches; Genoa are 13th (lower half) with 13.
Current form
Juventus, last 3: WLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Galatasaray, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Genoa, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Udinese, at home. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 0.6 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Genoa, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Juventus.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Juventus 1.8 xG, Genoa 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Juventus 65%, draw 22%, Genoa 13%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Juventus 1–0 Genoa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Juventus65%fair 1.54 · @1.35
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @4.45
Genoa13%fair 7.55 · @9.40
2.54Expected goals
1.79Juventus xG
0.74Genoa xG
52%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Juventus 1.8 – 0.7 Genoa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Juventus to win✓
65%
1.54
1.35
Double chance
Juventus or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
Juventus (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Juventus -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.11
First team to score
Juventus to score first✓
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Juventus ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Juventus / FT Juventus✓
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.57
–
Recent results
Juventus – last 3
WLL
25 Feb
vs Galatasaray
3–0
W
21 Feb
vs Como
0–2
L
17 Feb
@ Galatasaray
2–5
L
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Genoa – last 5
LWWWD
20 Mar
vs Udinese
0–2
L
15 Mar
@ Hellas Verona
2–0
W
8 Mar
vs AS Roma
2–1
W
22 Feb
vs Torino
3–0
W
15 Feb
@ Cremonese
0–0
D
1.4Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Juventus and Genoa.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Juventus vs Genoa?
On our numbers Juventus have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Genoa 13%.
How many goals will there be in Juventus vs Genoa?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Juventus vs Genoa?
Our predicted score is Juventus 1–0 Genoa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Juventus vs Genoa?
Juventus vs Genoa (Serie A) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Allianz Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
