Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.31
Lecce vs Atalanta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Monday 6 April: Lecce v Atalanta in the Serie A, played at Stadio Ettore Giardiniero - Via del Mare. In the table, Lecce are 14th, lower half, on 10 points after 11 matches; Atalanta are 12th (lower half) with 14.
Current form
Atalanta, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Hellas Verona, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lecce 1.0 xG, Atalanta 1.6 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lecce 21%, draw 26%, Atalanta 53%.
Lower-risk option: Atalanta or draw (79%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lecce 1–1 Atalanta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lecce21%fair 4.69 · @4.85
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.50
Atalanta53%fair 1.90 · @1.73
2.56Expected goals
1.00Lecce xG
1.56Atalanta xG
49%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Lecce 1.0 – 1.6 Atalanta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atalanta to win✓
53%
1.90
1.73
Double chance
Atalanta or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.85
Draw no bet
Atalanta (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Lecce +1 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
1.09
First team to score
Atalanta to score first✓
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atalanta / FT Atalanta✓
30%
3.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.31
–
Recent results
Lecce – last 2
WW
8 Mar
vs Cremonese
2–1
W
16 Feb
@ Cagliari
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Atalanta – last 6
WLLDLW
22 Mar
vs Hellas Verona
1–0
W
18 Mar
@ Bayern München
1–4
L
10 Mar
vs Bayern München
1–6
L
4 Mar
@ Lazio
2–2
D
1 Mar
@ Sassuolo
1–2
L
25 Feb
vs Borussia Dortmund
4–1
W
1.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lecce and Atalanta.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Lecce vs Atalanta?
On our numbers Lecce have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Atalanta 53%.
How many goals will there be in Lecce vs Atalanta?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lecce vs Atalanta?
Our predicted score is Lecce 1–1 Atalanta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Lecce vs Atalanta?
Lecce vs Atalanta (Serie A) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ettore Giardiniero - Via del Mare.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
