Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 52% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultInter to win ✓73% · @1.23
Double chanceInter or draw ✓90% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.93
Inter vs Cagliari: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cagliari travel to face Inter on Friday 17 April in the Serie A, with Stadio Giuseppe Meazza the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Inter are 2nd, among the top four, on 28 points after 11 matches; Cagliari are 9th (upper half) with 16. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Inter, last 4: WDLL Their latest outing: 5–2 win over AS Roma, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Cagliari, last 4: LLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Napoli, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Inter, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Cagliari.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Inter 2.2 xG, Cagliari 0.7 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 58%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Inter 73%, draw 17%, Cagliari 10%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Inter to win (73%, odds 1.23). Most likely score in line with that pick: Inter 2–0 Cagliari. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Inter73%fair 1.36 · @1.23
Draw17%fair 5.91 · @5.90
Cagliari10%fair 10.37 · @11.00
2.89Expected goals
2.23Inter xG
0.67Cagliari xG
52%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–014%
1–012%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Inter 2.2 – 0.7 Cagliari expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Inter to win✓
73%
1.36
1.23
Double chance
Inter or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Inter (draw no bet)✓
88%
1.13
–
Asian handicap
Inter -1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.22
First team to score
Inter to score first✓
73%
1.38
–
Half-time result
Inter ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Inter / FT Inter✗
49%
2.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.93
–
Recent results
Inter – last 4
WDLL
5 Apr
vs AS Roma
5–2
W
3 Mar
@ Como
0–0
D
24 Feb
vs BodoGlimt
1–2
L
18 Feb
@ BodoGlimt
1–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Cagliari – last 4
LLDL
20 Mar
vs Napoli
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Pisa
1–3
L
27 Feb
@ Parma
1–1
D
16 Feb
vs Lecce
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Inter and Cagliari.
Our pick is Inter to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Inter vs Cagliari?
On our numbers Inter have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Cagliari 10%.
How many goals will there be in Inter vs Cagliari?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Inter vs Cagliari?
Our predicted score is Inter 2–0 Cagliari, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Inter vs Cagliari?
Inter vs Cagliari (Serie A) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
