Como travel to face Sassuolo on Friday 17 April in the Serie A, with MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore the venue – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, Sassuolo are 17th, lower half, on 8 points after 11 matches; Como are 5th (upper half) with 23. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sassuolo, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Genoa, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Como, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Udinese, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Como, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Sassuolo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sassuolo 0.9 xG, Como 2.1 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sassuolo 16%, draw 21%, Como 63%.
Lower-risk option: Como or draw (84%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sassuolo 0–2 Como. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sassuolo16%fair 6.31 · @4.85
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.85
Como63%fair 1.59 · @1.66
3.03Expected goals
0.92Sassuolo xG
2.11Como xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Sassuolo 0.9 – 2.1 Como expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Como to win✗
63%
1.59
1.66
Double chance
Como or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.75 ▲
Draw no bet
Como (draw no bet)✗
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Como -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.14
First team to score
Como to score first
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Como ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Como / FT Como✗
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.11
–
Recent results
Sassuolo – last 6
LLLWWW
12 Apr
@ Genoa
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Bologna
0–1
L
9 Mar
@ Lazio
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Atalanta
2–1
W
20 Feb
vs Verona
3–0
W
15 Feb
@ Udinese
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Como – last 6
DWWDWD
6 Apr
@ Udinese
0–0
D
22 Mar
vs Pisa
5–0
W
15 Mar
vs AS Roma
2–1
W
3 Mar
vs Inter
0–0
D
21 Feb
@ Juventus
2–0
W
18 Feb
@ AC Milan
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sassuolo and Como.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sassuolo vs Como?
On our numbers Sassuolo have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Como 63%.
How many goals will there be in Sassuolo vs Como?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sassuolo vs Como?
Our predicted score is Sassuolo 0–2 Como, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Sassuolo vs Como?
Sassuolo vs Como (Serie A) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
