Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultAtalanta to win ✗51% · @1.75
Double chanceAtalanta or draw ✗78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.09
Cagliari vs Atalanta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 27 April the Serie A brings Cagliari against Atalanta at Unipol Domus. Kick-off: 17:30 WAT. In the table, Cagliari are 9th, upper half, on 16 points after 11 matches; Atalanta are 12th (lower half) with 14. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Cagliari, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Inter, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.4 goals a game.
Atalanta, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Lecce, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Atalanta, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.2 for Cagliari.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cagliari 1.0 xG, Atalanta 1.4 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cagliari 22%, draw 27%, Atalanta 51%.
Lower-risk option: Atalanta or draw (78%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Atalanta or draw (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cagliari 0–1 Atalanta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cagliari22%fair 4.57 · @4.40
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @3.65
Atalanta51%fair 1.96 · @1.75
2.43Expected goals
1.00Cagliari xG
1.44Atalanta xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–113%
0–29%
1–29%
0–09%
1–09%
From our goals model: Cagliari 1.0 – 1.4 Atalanta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atalanta to win✗
51%
1.96
1.75
Double chance
Atalanta or draw✗
78%
1.28
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.75
Draw no bet
Atalanta (draw no bet)✗
70%
1.43
–
Asian handicap
Cagliari +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
1.12
First team to score
Atalanta to score first
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atalanta / FT Atalanta✗
28%
3.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.09
–
Recent results
Cagliari – last 5
LLLDL
17 Apr
@ Inter
0–3
L
20 Mar
vs Napoli
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Pisa
1–3
L
27 Feb
@ Parma
1–1
D
16 Feb
vs Lecce
0–2
L
0.4Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Atalanta – last 6
WWLLDL
6 Apr
@ Lecce
3–0
W
22 Mar
vs Hellas Verona
1–0
W
18 Mar
@ Bayern München
1–4
L
10 Mar
vs Bayern München
1–6
L
4 Mar
@ Lazio
2–2
D
1 Mar
@ Sassuolo
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cagliari and Atalanta.
Our pick is Atalanta or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Cagliari vs Atalanta?
On our numbers Cagliari have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Atalanta 51%.
How many goals will there be in Cagliari vs Atalanta?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cagliari vs Atalanta?
Our predicted score is Cagliari 0–1 Atalanta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Cagliari vs Atalanta?
Cagliari vs Atalanta (Serie A) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Unipol Domus.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
