Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Lazio to win @ 2.00 – our chance 56% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLazio to win ✗56% · @2.00
Double chanceLazio or draw ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.17
Lazio vs Udinese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Udinese travel to face Lazio on Monday 27 April in the Serie A, with Stadio Olimpico the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Lazio are 1st, leading the league, on 29 points after 11 matches; Udinese are 20th (in the drop zone) with 5. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Lazio, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Fiorentina, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Udinese, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Como, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.6 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lazio 1.9 xG, Udinese 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lazio 56%, draw 23%, Udinese 22%.
Lower-risk option: Lazio or draw (78%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Lazio to win @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Lazio or draw (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lazio 1–0 Udinese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lazio56%fair 1.80 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.20
Udinese22%fair 4.59 · @3.85
2.75Expected goals
1.86Lazio xG
0.88Udinese xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Lazio 1.9 – 0.9 Udinese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lazio to win✗
56%
1.80
2.00 ▲
Double chance
Lazio or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.93 ▲
Draw no bet
Lazio (draw no bet)
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Lazio -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
1.07
First team to score
Lazio to score first✗
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Lazio ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lazio / FT Lazio✗
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.17
–
Recent results
Lazio – last 6
LWWWDL
13 Apr
@ Fiorentina
0–1
L
22 Mar
@ Bologna
2–0
W
15 Mar
vs AC Milan
1–0
W
9 Mar
vs Sassuolo
2–1
W
4 Mar
vs Atalanta
2–2
D
1 Mar
@ Torino
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Udinese – last 5
DWWLL
6 Apr
vs Como
0–0
D
20 Mar
@ Genoa
2–0
W
2 Mar
vs Fiorentina
3–0
W
23 Feb
@ Bologna
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Sassuolo
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lazio and Udinese.
Our pick is Lazio or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Lazio vs Udinese?
On our numbers Lazio have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Udinese 22%.
How many goals will there be in Lazio vs Udinese?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lazio vs Udinese?
Our predicted score is Lazio 1–0 Udinese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Lazio vs Udinese?
Lazio vs Udinese (Serie A) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Olimpico.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
