Bologna vs Cagliari: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 3 May the Serie A brings Bologna against Cagliari at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara. Kick-off: 11:30 WAT. In the table, Bologna are 8th, upper half, on 17 points after 11 matches; Cagliari are 9th (upper half) with 16. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Bologna, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Aston Villa, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Cagliari, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Atalanta, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Bologna, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Cagliari.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bologna 1.5 xG, Cagliari 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bologna 54%, draw 26%, Cagliari 20%.
Lower-risk option: Bologna or draw (80%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.93.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bologna 1–0 Cagliari. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bologna54%fair 1.86 · @1.83
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.40
Cagliari20%fair 4.94 · @4.33
2.36Expected goals
1.50Bologna xG
0.86Cagliari xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
0–09%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Bologna 1.5 – 0.9 Cagliari expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bologna to win✗
54%
1.86
1.83
Double chance
Bologna or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
1.93
Draw no bet
Bologna (draw no bet)
73%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Cagliari +1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.08
First team to score
Bologna to score first✗
57%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bologna / FT Bologna✗
31%
3.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.94
–
Recent results
Bologna – last 6
LLWLDW
16 Apr
@ Aston Villa
0–4
L
9 Apr
vs Aston Villa
1–3
L
5 Apr
@ Cremonese
2–1
W
22 Mar
vs Lazio
0–2
L
19 Mar
@ AS Roma
3–3
D
15 Mar
@ Sassuolo
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Cagliari – last 6
WLLLDL
27 Apr
vs Atalanta
3–2
W
17 Apr
@ Inter
0–3
L
20 Mar
vs Napoli
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Pisa
1–3
L
27 Feb
@ Parma
1–1
D
16 Feb
vs Lecce
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bologna and Cagliari.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Bologna vs Cagliari?
On our numbers Bologna have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Cagliari 20%.
How many goals will there be in Bologna vs Cagliari?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bologna vs Cagliari?
Our predicted score is Bologna 1–0 Cagliari, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Bologna vs Cagliari?
Bologna vs Cagliari (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Hellas Verona