Inter 74%Draw 16%Parma 11%Expected goals 2.29 – 0.65
74%
Betarazi pick
Inter to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.21
8/10Rating
1.21Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultInter to win74% · @1.21
Double chanceInter or draw89% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.07
Inter vs Parma: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Parma travel to face Inter on Sunday 3 May in the Serie A, with Stadio Giuseppe Meazza the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Inter are 2nd, among the top four, on 28 points after 11 matches; Parma are 16th (lower half) with 8. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Inter, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Como, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Parma, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Torino, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Inter 2.3 xG, Parma 0.7 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Inter 74%, draw 16%, Parma 11%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Inter to win (74%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: Inter 2–0 Parma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Inter74%fair 1.36 · @1.21
Draw16%fair 6.34 · @6.00
Parma11%fair 9.37 · @12.50
2.94Expected goals
2.29Inter xG
0.65Parma xG
53%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–014%
1–012%
3–011%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Inter 2.3 – 0.7 Parma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Inter to win
74%
1.36
1.21
Double chance
Inter or draw
89%
1.12
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
53%
1.89
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Inter (draw no bet)
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
Inter -1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
80%
1.25
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
60%
1.68
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
62%
1.61
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
79%
1.27
1.25
First team to score
Inter to score first
74%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Inter ahead at half-time
54%
1.87
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Inter / FT Inter
50%
2.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.07
–
Recent results
Inter – last 6
WWWDLL
21 Apr
vs Como
3–2
W
17 Apr
vs Cagliari
3–0
W
5 Apr
vs AS Roma
5–2
W
3 Mar
@ Como
0–0
D
24 Feb
vs BodoGlimt
1–2
L
18 Feb
@ BodoGlimt
1–3
L
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Parma – last 5
LDDWW
13 Mar
@ Torino
1–4
L
8 Mar
@ Fiorentina
0–0
D
27 Feb
vs Cagliari
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ AC Milan
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Verona
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Inter and Parma.
Our pick is Inter to win with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Inter vs Parma?
On our numbers Inter have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Parma 11%.
How many goals will there be in Inter vs Parma?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Inter vs Parma?
Our predicted score is Inter 2–0 Parma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Inter vs Parma?
Inter vs Parma (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Hellas Verona