Value bet: Lazio to win @ 2.46 – our chance 44% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLazio to win ✓44% · @2.46
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.18
Cremonese vs Lazio: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 4 May the Serie A brings Cremonese against Lazio at Stadio Giovanni Zini. Kick-off: 17:30 WAT.
Current form
Cremonese, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Napoli, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Lazio, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Udinese, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Lazio, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.2 for Cremonese.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cremonese 1.1 xG, Lazio 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cremonese 30%, draw 26%, Lazio 44%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Lazio to win @2.46 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cremonese 1–1 Lazio. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cremonese30%fair 3.38 · @2.90
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.15
Lazio44%fair 2.26 · @2.46
2.51Expected goals
1.09Cremonese xG
1.42Lazio xG
57%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Cremonese 1.1 – 1.4 Lazio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lazio to win✓
44%
2.26
2.46 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.80
Draw no bet
Lazio (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.67
–
Asian handicap
Cremonese +1 (Asian handicap)
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.08
First team to score
Lazio to score first✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lazio / FT Lazio✗
26%
3.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
11.18
–
Recent results
Cremonese – last 6
LDLLLL
24 Apr
@ Napoli
0–4
L
19 Apr
vs Torino
0–0
D
5 Apr
vs Bologna
1–2
L
16 Mar
vs Fiorentina
1–4
L
8 Mar
@ Lecce
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs AC Milan
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lazio – last 6
DLWWWD
27 Apr
vs Udinese
3–3
D
13 Apr
@ Fiorentina
0–1
L
22 Mar
@ Bologna
2–0
W
15 Mar
vs AC Milan
1–0
W
9 Mar
vs Sassuolo
2–1
W
4 Mar
vs Atalanta
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cremonese and Lazio.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Cremonese vs Lazio?
On our numbers Cremonese have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Lazio 44%.
How many goals will there be in Cremonese vs Lazio?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cremonese vs Lazio?
Our predicted score is Cremonese 1–1 Lazio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Cremonese vs Lazio?
Cremonese vs Lazio (Serie A) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Giovanni Zini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
