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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sunderland v Fulham: numbers & prediction

Premier League · England · Stadium of Light
1–3
FT
Sunderland 38%Draw 28%Fulham 34% Expected goals 1.22 – 1.07
78%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultSunderland to win ✗38% · @2.66
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.39

Sunderland vs Fulham: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 22 February the Premier League brings Sunderland against Fulham at Stadium of Light. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Sunderland are 19th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 10 matches; Fulham are 15th (lower half) with 10. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sunderland 1.2 xG, Fulham 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sunderland 38%, draw 28%, Fulham 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sunderland 1–1 Fulham. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sunderland38%fair 2.63 · @2.66
Draw28%fair 3.52 · @3.15
Fulham34%fair 2.98 · @2.66
2.29Expected goals
1.22Sunderland xG
1.07Fulham xG
51%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: Sunderland 1.2 – 1.1 Fulham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSunderland to win ✗38%2.632.66
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72%1.401.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.961.83
Draw no betSunderland (draw no bet) ✗53%1.88–
Asian handicapFulham +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.481.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗58%1.721.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78%1.281.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.111.07
First team to scoreSunderland to score first48%2.09–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sunderland / FT Sunderland ✗23%4.42–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.39–

Recent results

Sunderland – last 1

W
15 Feb@ Oxford United1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Fulham – last 1

W
15 Feb@ Stoke City2–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sunderland and Fulham.

Sunderland vs Fulham head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Arsenal10901+1027
2Brighton10712+1922
3Manchester City10703+821
4Liverpool10532+418
5Chelsea10514+316
6Everton10442+216
7Bournemouth10433+215
8Brentford10352+514
9Leeds10352+214
10Aston Villa10343-313
11Tottenham10334-112
12Newcastle10334-312
13Hull City10253011
14Ipswich10325-511
15Fulham10244-210
16Nottingham Forest10235-49
17Coventry10307-99
18Manchester United10154-58
19Sunderland10226-98
20Crystal Palace10217-147

More Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sunderland vs Fulham?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Sunderland vs Fulham?

On our numbers Sunderland have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Fulham 34%.

How many goals will there be in Sunderland vs Fulham?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Fulham?

Our predicted score is Sunderland 1–1 Fulham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Sunderland vs Fulham?

Sunderland vs Fulham (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadium of Light.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.