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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tottenham v Arsenal: numbers & prediction

Premier League · England · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
1–4
FT
Tottenham 16%Draw 25%Arsenal 59% Expected goals 0.86 – 1.68
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultArsenal to win ✓59% · @1.52
Double chanceArsenal or draw ✓84% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.53

Tottenham vs Arsenal: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:30 WAT, Sunday 22 February: Tottenham v Arsenal in the Premier League, played at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. In the table, Tottenham are 11th, lower half, on 12 points after 10 matches; Arsenal are 1st (leading the league) with 27. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tottenham 0.9 xG, Arsenal 1.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 46%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tottenham 16%, draw 25%, Arsenal 59%.
  • GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.91.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tottenham 1–1 Arsenal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tottenham16%fair 6.20 · @6.00
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @4.00
Arsenal59%fair 1.69 · @1.52
2.54Expected goals
0.86Tottenham xG
1.68Arsenal xG
46%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–08%
1–07%

From our goals model: Tottenham 0.9 – 1.7 Arsenal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultArsenal to win ✓59%1.691.52
Double chanceArsenal or draw ✓84%1.191.12
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗54%1.861.91
Draw no betArsenal (draw no bet) ✓79%1.27–
Asian handicapTottenham +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.361.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗50%1.982.00
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.401.38
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗86%1.171.14
First team to scoreArsenal to score first61%1.64–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Arsenal / FT Arsenal ✗35%2.86–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13%7.53–

Recent results

Tottenham

No recent results on record.

Arsenal – last 2

DW
18 Feb@ Wolves2–2D
15 Febvs Wigan4–0W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Tottenham and Arsenal.

Tottenham vs Arsenal head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Arsenal10901+1027
2Brighton10712+1922
3Manchester City10703+821
4Liverpool10532+418
5Chelsea10514+316
6Everton10442+216
7Bournemouth10433+215
8Brentford10352+514
9Leeds10352+214
10Aston Villa10343-313
11Tottenham10334-112
12Newcastle10334-312
13Hull City10253011
14Ipswich10325-511
15Fulham10244-210
16Nottingham Forest10235-49
17Coventry10307-99
18Manchester United10154-58
19Sunderland10226-98
20Crystal Palace10217-147

More Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tottenham vs Arsenal?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Tottenham vs Arsenal?

On our numbers Tottenham have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Arsenal 59%.

How many goals will there be in Tottenham vs Arsenal?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tottenham vs Arsenal?

Our predicted score is Tottenham 1–1 Arsenal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Tottenham vs Arsenal?

Tottenham vs Arsenal (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.