Value bet: Leeds to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLeeds to win ✗37% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.51
Crystal Palace vs Leeds: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Sunday 15 March: Crystal Palace v Leeds in the Premier League, played at Selhurst Park. In the table, Crystal Palace are 20th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 10 matches; Leeds are 9th (upper half) with 14.
Current form
Crystal Palace, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with AEK Larnaca, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Leeds, last 3: WLD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Norwich, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Crystal Palace, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Leeds.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Crystal Palace 1.2 xG, Leeds 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Crystal Palace 36%, draw 27%, Leeds 37%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Leeds to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Crystal Palace 1–1 Leeds. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Crystal Palace36%fair 2.78 · @2.45
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @3.10
Leeds37%fair 2.67 · @2.90
2.63Expected goals
1.23Crystal Palace xG
1.40Leeds xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Crystal Palace 1.2 – 1.4 Leeds expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leeds to win✗
37%
2.67
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.36
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.67
Draw no bet
Leeds (draw no bet)
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
Crystal Palace +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Leeds to score first✗
49%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leeds / FT Leeds✗
24%
4.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.51
–
Recent results
Crystal Palace – last 6
DWLWWD
12 Mar
vs AEK Larnaca
0–0
D
5 Mar
@ Tottenham
3–1
W
1 Mar
@ Manchester United
1–2
L
26 Feb
vs Zrinjski
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs Wolves
1–0
W
19 Feb
@ Zrinjski
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Leeds – last 3
WLD
8 Mar
vs Norwich
3–0
W
3 Mar
vs Sunderland
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Aston Villa
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Crystal Palace and Leeds.
What is the prediction for Crystal Palace vs Leeds?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Crystal Palace vs Leeds?
On our numbers Crystal Palace have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Leeds 37%.
How many goals will there be in Crystal Palace vs Leeds?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Crystal Palace vs Leeds?
Our predicted score is Crystal Palace 1–1 Leeds, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Crystal Palace vs Leeds?
Crystal Palace vs Leeds (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Selhurst Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
