Manchester United 50%Draw 23%Aston Villa 27%Expected goals 1.82 – 1.56
65%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultManchester United to win ✓50% · @1.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.62
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · fair 1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.35
Manchester United vs Aston Villa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Manchester United welcome Aston Villa to Old Trafford for a Premier League fixture on Sunday 15 March (15:00 WAT). In the table, Manchester United are 18th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 10 matches; Aston Villa are 10th (upper half) with 13.
Current form
Manchester United, last 3: LWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Newcastle, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Aston Villa, last 4: WLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Lille, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Manchester United, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Aston Villa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Manchester United 1.8 xG, Aston Villa 1.6 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 65% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Manchester United 50%, draw 23%, Aston Villa 27%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.53, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Manchester United 1–1 Aston Villa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Manchester United50%fair 1.99 · @1.70
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @4.00
Aston Villa27%fair 3.71 · @4.40
3.38Expected goals
1.82Manchester United xG
1.56Aston Villa xG
65%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
2–06%
From our goals model: Manchester United 1.8 – 1.6 Aston Villa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Manchester United to win✓
50%
1.99
1.70
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.53
1.62 ▲
Draw no bet
Manchester United (draw no bet)✓
65%
1.54
–
Asian handicap
Aston Villa +1 (Asian handicap)✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
56%
1.77
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
First team to score
Manchester United to score first
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.71
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Manchester United / FT Manchester United✗
27%
3.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.35
–
Recent results
Manchester United – last 3
LWW
4 Mar
@ Newcastle
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Crystal Palace
2–1
W
23 Feb
@ Everton
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Aston Villa – last 4
WLLD
12 Mar
@ Lille
1–0
W
4 Mar
vs Chelsea
1–4
L
27 Feb
@ Wolves
0–2
L
21 Feb
vs Leeds
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Manchester United and Aston Villa.
What is the prediction for Manchester United vs Aston Villa?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Manchester United vs Aston Villa?
On our numbers Manchester United have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Aston Villa 27%.
How many goals will there be in Manchester United vs Aston Villa?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Manchester United vs Aston Villa?
Our predicted score is Manchester United 1–1 Aston Villa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Manchester United vs Aston Villa?
Manchester United vs Aston Villa (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Old Trafford.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
