Aston Villa 55%Draw 23%West Ham 23%Expected goals 2.00 – 1.29
80%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.73 – our chance 63% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAston Villa to win ✓55% · @1.84
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.40
Aston Villa vs West Ham: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 22 March the Premier League brings Aston Villa against West Ham at Villa Park. Kick-off: 15:15 WAT.
Current form
Aston Villa, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Lille, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aston Villa 2.0 xG, West Ham 1.3 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aston Villa 55%, draw 23%, West Ham 23%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aston Villa 2–1 West Ham. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aston Villa55%fair 1.83 · @1.84
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.70
West Ham23%fair 4.40 · @3.85
3.29Expected goals
2.00Aston Villa xG
1.29West Ham xG
63%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–07%
1–07%
3–16%
2–26%
From our goals model: Aston Villa 2.0 – 1.3 West Ham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aston Villa to win✓
55%
1.83
1.84
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.73 ▲
Draw no bet
Aston Villa (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.42
–
Asian handicap
West Ham +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.13
First team to score
Aston Villa to score first✓
59%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Aston Villa ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aston Villa / FT Aston Villa✓
34%
2.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.40
–
Recent results
Aston Villa – last 6
WLWLLD
19 Mar
vs Lille
2–0
W
15 Mar
@ Manchester United
1–3
L
12 Mar
@ Lille
1–0
W
4 Mar
vs Chelsea
1–4
L
27 Feb
@ Wolves
0–2
L
21 Feb
vs Leeds
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
West Ham – last 2
WD
4 Mar
@ Fulham
1–0
W
14 Feb
@ Burton Albion
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aston Villa and West Ham.
What is the prediction for Aston Villa vs West Ham?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Aston Villa vs West Ham?
On our numbers Aston Villa have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 23% and West Ham 23%.
How many goals will there be in Aston Villa vs West Ham?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aston Villa vs West Ham?
Our predicted score is Aston Villa 2–1 West Ham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Aston Villa vs West Ham?
Aston Villa vs West Ham (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 15:15 (West Africa Time) at Villa Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
