Chelsea 47%Draw 24%Tottenham 29%Expected goals 1.76 – 1.27
80%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultChelsea to win ✓47% · @1.96
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.51
Chelsea vs Tottenham: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 19 May the Premier League brings Chelsea against Tottenham at Stamford Bridge. Kick-off: 20:15 WAT. In the table, Chelsea are 5th, upper half, on 16 points after 10 matches; Tottenham are 11th (lower half) with 12.
Current form
Chelsea, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Liverpool, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Tottenham, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Nottingham Forest, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chelsea 1.8 xG, Tottenham 1.3 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chelsea 47%, draw 24%, Tottenham 29%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chelsea 1–1 Tottenham. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chelsea47%fair 2.11 · @1.96
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.55
Tottenham29%fair 3.44 · @3.60
3.03Expected goals
1.76Chelsea xG
1.27Tottenham xG
61%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Chelsea 1.8 – 1.3 Tottenham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chelsea to win✓
47%
2.11
1.96
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.50
Draw no bet
Chelsea (draw no bet)✓
62%
1.61
–
Asian handicap
Tottenham +1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.22
First team to score
Chelsea to score first✓
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chelsea / FT Chelsea✓
30%
3.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.51
–
Recent results
Chelsea – last 6
DLLLLW
9 May
@ Liverpool
1–1
D
4 May
vs Nottingham Forest
1–3
L
21 Apr
@ Brighton
0–3
L
17 Mar
vs Paris Saint Germain
0–3
L
11 Mar
@ Paris Saint Germain
2–5
L
4 Mar
@ Aston Villa
4–1
W
1.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Tottenham – last 6
LWDLLL
22 Mar
vs Nottingham Forest
0–3
L
18 Mar
vs Atletico Madrid
3–2
W
15 Mar
@ Liverpool
1–1
D
10 Mar
@ Atletico Madrid
2–5
L
5 Mar
vs Crystal Palace
1–3
L
1 Mar
@ Fulham
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chelsea and Tottenham.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Chelsea vs Tottenham?
On our numbers Chelsea have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tottenham 29%.
How many goals will there be in Chelsea vs Tottenham?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chelsea vs Tottenham?
Our predicted score is Chelsea 1–1 Tottenham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Chelsea vs Tottenham?
Chelsea vs Tottenham (Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 19 May 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time) at Stamford Bridge.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
