Value bet: Esbjerg to win @ 3.35 – our chance 32% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAC Horsens to win ✗43% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.45
Esbjerg vs AC Horsens: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 28 February the 1. Division brings Esbjerg against AC Horsens at Blue Water Arena. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Esbjerg 1.3 xG, AC Horsens 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Esbjerg 32%, draw 25%, AC Horsens 43%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Esbjerg to win @3.35 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Esbjerg 1–1 AC Horsens. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Esbjerg32%fair 3.13 · @3.35
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.30
AC Horsens43%fair 2.34 · @2.05
2.71Expected goals
1.28Esbjerg xG
1.44AC Horsens xG
61%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Esbjerg 1.3 – 1.4 AC Horsens expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AC Horsens to win✗
43%
2.34
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.67
Draw no bet
AC Horsens (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Esbjerg +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
AC Horsens to score first✓
49%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AC Horsens / FT AC Horsens✗
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.45
–
Recent results
Esbjerg
No recent results on record.
AC Horsens – last 1
L
19 Feb
@ Zbrojovka Brno
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Esbjerg and AC Horsens.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Esbjerg vs AC Horsens?
On our numbers Esbjerg have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 25% and AC Horsens 43%.
How many goals will there be in Esbjerg vs AC Horsens?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Esbjerg vs AC Horsens?
Our predicted score is Esbjerg 1–1 AC Horsens, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Esbjerg vs AC Horsens?
Esbjerg vs AC Horsens (1. Division) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Blue Water Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.