Jagiellonia vs Legia Warszawa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Jagiellonia welcome Legia Warszawa to Chorten Arena for a Ekstraklasa fixture on Sunday 1 March (14:45 WAT). In the table, Jagiellonia are 9th, upper half, on 21 points after 13 matches; Legia Warszawa are 3rd (among the top four) with 24. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Jagiellonia, last 3: WDL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Fiorentina, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jagiellonia 1.5 xG, Legia Warszawa 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jagiellonia 43%, draw 26%, Legia Warszawa 31%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jagiellonia 1–1 Legia Warszawa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jagiellonia43%fair 2.32 · @2.26
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.35
Legia Warszawa31%fair 3.19 · @3.00
2.68Expected goals
1.48Jagiellonia xG
1.20Legia Warszawa xG
62%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Jagiellonia 1.5 – 1.2 Legia Warszawa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jagiellonia to win✗
43%
2.32
2.26
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.62
Draw no bet
Jagiellonia (draw no bet)
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Legia Warszawa +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.94
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.14
First team to score
Jagiellonia to score first
51%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jagiellonia / FT Jagiellonia✗
26%
3.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.09
–
Recent results
Jagiellonia – last 3
WDL
26 Feb
@ Fiorentina
3–0
W
22 Feb
vs Radomiak Radom
1–1
D
19 Feb
vs Fiorentina
0–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Legia Warszawa – last 1
D
13 Feb
@ GKS Katowice
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jagiellonia and Legia Warszawa.
What is the prediction for Jagiellonia vs Legia Warszawa?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Jagiellonia vs Legia Warszawa?
On our numbers Jagiellonia have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Legia Warszawa 31%.
How many goals will there be in Jagiellonia vs Legia Warszawa?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jagiellonia vs Legia Warszawa?
Our predicted score is Jagiellonia 1–1 Legia Warszawa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Jagiellonia vs Legia Warszawa?
Jagiellonia vs Legia Warszawa (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 14:45 (West Africa Time) at Chorten Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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