Lech Poznan 49%Draw 22%Raków Częstochowa 29%Expected goals 1.97 – 1.34
80%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Lech Poznan to win @ 2.26 – our chance 49% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLech Poznan to win ✓49% · @2.26
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.53
Lech Poznan vs Raków Częstochowa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Raków Częstochowa travel to face Lech Poznan on Sunday 1 March in the Ekstraklasa, with Enea Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, Lech Poznan are 1st, leading the league, on 32 points after 13 matches; Raków Częstochowa are 16th (in the drop zone) with 12. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Lech Poznan, last 4: WWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over KuPS, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lech Poznan 2.0 xG, Raków Częstochowa 1.3 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 65% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lech Poznan 49%, draw 22%, Raków Częstochowa 29%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Lech Poznan to win @2.26 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 49%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lech Poznan 1–1 Raków Częstochowa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lech Poznan49%fair 2.06 · @2.26
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.40
Raków Częstochowa29%fair 3.44 · @3.00
3.31Expected goals
1.97Lech Poznan xG
1.34Raków Częstochowa xG
65%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–07%
2–07%
1–26%
2–26%
From our goals model: Lech Poznan 2.0 – 1.3 Raków Częstochowa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lech Poznan to win✓
49%
2.06
2.26 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.55
1.62
Draw no bet
Lech Poznan (draw no bet)✓
63%
1.60
–
Asian handicap
Raków Częstochowa +1 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.80 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
1.14
First team to score
Lech Poznan to score first
57%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Lech Poznan ahead at half-time✗
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lech Poznan / FT Lech Poznan✗
33%
3.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.53
–
Recent results
Lech Poznan – last 4
WWWW
26 Feb
vs KuPS
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Korona Kielce
2–1
W
19 Feb
@ KuPS
2–0
W
15 Feb
vs Piast Gliwice
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Raków Częstochowa – last 1
W
21 Feb
vs Nieciecza
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lech Poznan and Raków Częstochowa.
What is the prediction for Lech Poznan vs Raków Częstochowa?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Lech Poznan vs Raków Częstochowa?
On our numbers Lech Poznan have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Raków Częstochowa 29%.
How many goals will there be in Lech Poznan vs Raków Częstochowa?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lech Poznan vs Raków Częstochowa?
Our predicted score is Lech Poznan 1–1 Raków Częstochowa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Lech Poznan vs Raków Częstochowa?
Lech Poznan vs Raków Częstochowa (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Enea Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Nieciecza1