Motor Lublin vs Gornik Zabrze: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 8 March the Ekstraklasa brings Motor Lublin against Gornik Zabrze at Motor Lublin Arena. Kick-off: 12:15 WAT. In the table, Motor Lublin are 10th, lower half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Gornik Zabrze are 2nd (among the top four) with 31. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Motor Lublin 1.3 xG, Gornik Zabrze 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Motor Lublin 37%, draw 25%, Gornik Zabrze 38%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Motor Lublin 1–1 Gornik Zabrze. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Motor Lublin37%fair 2.73 · @2.64
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.50
Gornik Zabrze38%fair 2.63 · @2.46
2.72Expected goals
1.33Motor Lublin xG
1.39Gornik Zabrze xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Motor Lublin 1.3 – 1.4 Gornik Zabrze expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gornik Zabrze to win✗
38%
2.63
2.46
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.65
Draw no bet
Gornik Zabrze (draw no bet)
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
Motor Lublin +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.13
First team to score
Gornik Zabrze to score first✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gornik Zabrze / FT Gornik Zabrze✗
22%
4.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.81
–
Recent results
Motor Lublin – last 2
WL
20 Feb
@ Piast Gliwice
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Lechia Gdansk
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Gornik Zabrze – last 2
WD
4 Mar
@ Lech Poznan
1–0
W
16 Feb
@ Nieciecza
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Motor Lublin and Gornik Zabrze.
What is the prediction for Motor Lublin vs Gornik Zabrze?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Motor Lublin vs Gornik Zabrze?
On our numbers Motor Lublin have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Gornik Zabrze 38%.
How many goals will there be in Motor Lublin vs Gornik Zabrze?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Motor Lublin vs Gornik Zabrze?
Our predicted score is Motor Lublin 1–1 Gornik Zabrze, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Motor Lublin vs Gornik Zabrze?
Motor Lublin vs Gornik Zabrze (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 12:15 (West Africa Time) at Motor Lublin Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
