Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultRaków Częstochowa to win ✓57% · @1.75
Double chanceRaków Częstochowa or draw ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18
Raków Częstochowa vs Pogon Szczecin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:30 WAT, Sunday 8 March: Raków Częstochowa v Pogon Szczecin in the Ekstraklasa, played at zondacrypto Arena. In the table, Raków Częstochowa are 16th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 14 matches; Pogon Szczecin are 4th (among the top four) with 24. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Raków Częstochowa, last 3: DLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Avia Świdnik, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Raków Częstochowa 1.9 xG, Pogon Szczecin 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Raków Częstochowa 57%, draw 23%, Pogon Szczecin 21%.
Lower-risk option: Raków Częstochowa or draw (79%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Raków Częstochowa or draw (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Raków Częstochowa 1–1 Pogon Szczecin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Raków Częstochowa57%fair 1.77 · @1.75
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.75
Pogon Szczecin21%fair 4.82 · @4.35
3.00Expected goals
1.86Raków Częstochowa xG
1.14Pogon Szczecin xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Raków Częstochowa 1.9 – 1.1 Pogon Szczecin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Raków Częstochowa to win✓
57%
1.77
1.75
Double chance
Raków Częstochowa or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.67
Draw no bet
Raków Częstochowa (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Pogon Szczecin +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.77
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.53
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.17
First team to score
Raków Częstochowa to score first✓
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Raków Częstochowa ahead at half-time✓
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Raków Częstochowa / FT Raków Częstochowa✓
34%
2.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.18
–
Recent results
Raków Częstochowa – last 3
DLW
5 Mar
@ Avia Świdnik
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Lech Poznan
3–4
L
21 Feb
vs Nieciecza
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Pogon Szczecin – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Arka Gdynia
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Raków Częstochowa and Pogon Szczecin.
What is the prediction for Raków Częstochowa vs Pogon Szczecin?
Our pick is Raków Częstochowa or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Raków Częstochowa vs Pogon Szczecin?
On our numbers Raków Częstochowa have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Pogon Szczecin 21%.
How many goals will there be in Raków Częstochowa vs Pogon Szczecin?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Raków Częstochowa vs Pogon Szczecin?
Our predicted score is Raków Częstochowa 1–1 Pogon Szczecin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Raków Częstochowa vs Pogon Szczecin?
Raków Częstochowa vs Pogon Szczecin (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at zondacrypto Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
