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Gornik Zabrze v Cracovia Krakow: numbers & prediction

Ekstraklasa · Poland · Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla
Sat 4 Apr 2026
Gornik Zabrze 55%Draw 25%Cracovia Krakow 20% Expected goals 1.60 – 0.81
80%
Betarazi pick

Gornik Zabrze or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 54% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultGornik Zabrze to win55% · @1.90
Double chanceGornik Zabrze or draw80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.75

Gornik Zabrze vs Cracovia Krakow: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Gornik Zabrze welcome Cracovia Krakow to Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla for a Ekstraklasa fixture on Saturday 4 April (16:30 WAT). In the table, Gornik Zabrze are 2nd, among the top four, on 31 points after 14 matches; Cracovia Krakow are 15th (lower half) with 12. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Gornik Zabrze, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Widzew Łódź, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gornik Zabrze 1.6 xG, Cracovia Krakow 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gornik Zabrze 55%, draw 25%, Cracovia Krakow 20%.
  • Lower-risk option: Gornik Zabrze or draw (80%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Gornik Zabrze or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gornik Zabrze 1–0 Cracovia Krakow. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gornik Zabrze55%fair 1.82 · @1.90
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.30
Cracovia Krakow20%fair 5.05 · @4.10
2.41Expected goals
1.60Gornik Zabrze xG
0.81Cracovia Krakow xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–112%
2–012%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%

From our goals model: Gornik Zabrze 1.6 – 0.8 Cracovia Krakow expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGornik Zabrze to win55%1.821.90
Double chanceGornik Zabrze or draw80%1.251.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score54%1.841.95 ▲
Draw no betGornik Zabrze (draw no bet)74%1.36–
Asian handicapCracovia Krakow +1.5 (Asian handicap)70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals68%1.461.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals57%1.751.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals78%1.291.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals89%1.121.07
First team to scoreGornik Zabrze to score first60%1.65–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gornik Zabrze / FT Gornik Zabrze34%2.92–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%10.75–

Recent results

Gornik Zabrze – last 5

DWDWD
22 Mar@ Widzew Łódź0–0D
15 Marvs Raków Częstochowa3–1W
8 Mar@ Motor Lublin0–0D
4 Mar@ Lech Poznan1–0W
16 Feb@ Nieciecza1–1D
1.0Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Cracovia Krakow – last 2

LD
27 Febvs Piast Gliwice2–3L
20 Feb@ Widzew Łódź0–0D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Gornik Zabrze and Cracovia Krakow.

Gornik Zabrze vs Cracovia Krakow head-to-head page →

Ekstraklasa table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Lech Poznan131021+2132
2Gornik Zabrze14941+1131
3Legia Warszawa14662+1024
4Pogon Szczecin13733+524
5Wisla Krakow14734+324
6Zaglebie Lubin14653+123
7Piast Gliwice14644+422
8GKS Katowice14707+521
9Jagiellonia13706021
10Motor Lublin14545-219
11Korona Kielce14536-718
12Wisla Plock13436-715
13Widzew Łódź14284+114
14Radomiak Radom14428-1214
15Cracovia Krakow14338-712
16Raków Częstochowa144010-812
17Slask Wroclaw14248-810
18Wieczysta Kraków142210-108

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gornik Zabrze vs Cracovia Krakow?

Our pick is Gornik Zabrze or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Gornik Zabrze vs Cracovia Krakow?

On our numbers Gornik Zabrze have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cracovia Krakow 20%.

How many goals will there be in Gornik Zabrze vs Cracovia Krakow?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gornik Zabrze vs Cracovia Krakow?

Our predicted score is Gornik Zabrze 1–0 Cracovia Krakow, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Gornik Zabrze vs Cracovia Krakow?

Gornik Zabrze vs Cracovia Krakow (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.