Jagiellonia 37%Draw 23%Lech Poznan 40%Expected goals 1.58 – 1.60
66%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.48
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Picks by market
ResultLech Poznan to win40% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score66% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 11.89
Jagiellonia vs Lech Poznan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lech Poznan travel to face Jagiellonia on Saturday 4 April in the Ekstraklasa, with Chorten Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 19:15 WAT. In the table, Jagiellonia are 9th, upper half, on 21 points after 13 matches; Lech Poznan are 1st (leading the league) with 32.
Current form
Jagiellonia, last 5: WLDWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over GKS Katowice, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Lech Poznan, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Nieciecza, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Lech Poznan, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Jagiellonia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jagiellonia 1.6 xG, Lech Poznan 1.6 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jagiellonia 37%, draw 23%, Lech Poznan 40%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.48.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jagiellonia 1–1 Lech Poznan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jagiellonia37%fair 2.68 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.75
Lech Poznan40%fair 2.52 · @2.50
3.18Expected goals
1.58Jagiellonia xG
1.60Lech Poznan xG
66%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–28%
2–18%
0–17%
2–27%
1–07%
From our goals model: Jagiellonia 1.6 – 1.6 Lech Poznan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lech Poznan to win
40%
2.52
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
66%
1.52
1.48
Draw no bet
Lech Poznan (draw no bet)
51%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Jagiellonia +0.5 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
82%
1.22
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
61%
1.63
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
60%
1.65
1.57
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
78%
1.28
1.22
First team to score
Lech Poznan to score first
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
38%
2.61
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lech Poznan / FT Lech Poznan
23%
4.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
8%
11.89
–
Recent results
Jagiellonia – last 6
WLDWDL
17 Mar
vs GKS Katowice
2–1
W
6 Mar
@ Lechia Gdansk
0–3
L
1 Mar
vs Legia Warszawa
2–2
D
26 Feb
@ Fiorentina
3–0
W
22 Feb
vs Radomiak Radom
1–1
D
19 Feb
vs Fiorentina
0–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Lech Poznan – last 6
WWWLLW
22 Mar
vs Nieciecza
4–1
W
19 Mar
@ Shakhtar Donetsk
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Zaglebie Lubin
1–0
W
12 Mar
vs Shakhtar Donetsk
1–3
L
4 Mar
vs Gornik Zabrze
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Raków Częstochowa
4–3
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jagiellonia and Lech Poznan.
What is the prediction for Jagiellonia vs Lech Poznan?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Jagiellonia vs Lech Poznan?
On our numbers Jagiellonia have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lech Poznan 40%.
How many goals will there be in Jagiellonia vs Lech Poznan?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jagiellonia vs Lech Poznan?
Our predicted score is Jagiellonia 1–1 Lech Poznan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Jagiellonia vs Lech Poznan?
Jagiellonia vs Lech Poznan (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Chorten Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
