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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

GKS Katowice v Motor Lublin: numbers & prediction

Ekstraklasa · Poland · Arena Katowice
3–2
FT
GKS Katowice 47%Draw 23%Motor Lublin 29% Expected goals 1.69 – 1.26
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultGKS Katowice to win ✓47% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.62

GKS Katowice vs Motor Lublin: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Motor Lublin travel to face GKS Katowice on Friday 17 April in the Ekstraklasa, with Arena Katowice the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, GKS Katowice are 8th, upper half, on 21 points after 14 matches; Motor Lublin are 10th (lower half) with 19. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

GKS Katowice, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Wisla Plock, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Motor Lublin, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Radomiak Radom, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give GKS Katowice 1.7 xG, Motor Lublin 1.3 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – GKS Katowice 47%, draw 23%, Motor Lublin 29%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: GKS Katowice 1–1 Motor Lublin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

GKS Katowice47%fair 2.12 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.65
Motor Lublin29%fair 3.41 · @3.35
2.96Expected goals
1.69GKS Katowice xG
1.26Motor Lublin xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
2–07%
1–27%
0–17%

From our goals model: GKS Katowice 1.7 – 1.3 Motor Lublin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGKS Katowice to win ✓47%2.122.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.311.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.601.57
Draw no betGKS Katowice (draw no bet) ✓62%1.62–
Asian handicapMotor Lublin +1 (Asian handicap)68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.271.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.761.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗65%1.541.48
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗81%1.231.18
First team to scoreGKS Katowice to score first54%1.84–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.52–
Half-time / full-timeHT GKS Katowice / FT GKS Katowice ✓29%3.47–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.62–

Recent results

GKS Katowice – last 5

WLWLD
4 Aprvs Wisla Plock1–0W
17 Mar@ Jagiellonia1–2L
8 Mar@ Radomiak Radom1–0W
22 Feb@ Arka Gdynia1–2L
13 Febvs Legia Warszawa1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Motor Lublin – last 6

DWWDWL
6 Apr@ Radomiak Radom1–1D
20 Marvs Zaglebie Lubin1–0W
13 Mar@ Nieciecza2–1W
8 Marvs Gornik Zabrze0–0D
20 Feb@ Piast Gliwice2–1W
15 Febvs Lechia Gdansk2–3L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between GKS Katowice and Motor Lublin.

GKS Katowice vs Motor Lublin head-to-head page →

Ekstraklasa table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Lech Poznan131021+2132
2Gornik Zabrze14941+1131
3Legia Warszawa14662+1024
4Pogon Szczecin13733+524
5Wisla Krakow14734+324
6Zaglebie Lubin14653+123
7Piast Gliwice14644+422
8GKS Katowice14707+521
9Jagiellonia13706021
10Motor Lublin14545-219
11Korona Kielce14536-718
12Wisla Plock13436-715
13Widzew Łódź14284+114
14Radomiak Radom14428-1214
15Cracovia Krakow14338-712
16Raków Częstochowa144010-812
17Slask Wroclaw14248-810
18Wieczysta Kraków142210-108

More Ekstraklasa predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for GKS Katowice vs Motor Lublin?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win GKS Katowice vs Motor Lublin?

On our numbers GKS Katowice have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Motor Lublin 29%.

How many goals will there be in GKS Katowice vs Motor Lublin?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for GKS Katowice vs Motor Lublin?

Our predicted score is GKS Katowice 1–1 Motor Lublin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is GKS Katowice vs Motor Lublin?

GKS Katowice vs Motor Lublin (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Katowice.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.