Legia Warszawa vs Zaglebie Lubin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Zaglebie Lubin travel to face Legia Warszawa on Friday 17 April in the Ekstraklasa, with Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Józef the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, Legia Warszawa are 3rd, among the top four, on 24 points after 14 matches; Zaglebie Lubin are 6th (upper half) with 23. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Legia Warszawa, last 4: WDDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Pogon Szczecin, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Zaglebie Lubin, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Arka Gdynia, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Legia Warszawa 1.6 xG, Zaglebie Lubin 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Legia Warszawa 56%, draw 25%, Zaglebie Lubin 18%.
Lower-risk option: Legia Warszawa or draw (82%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.93.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Legia Warszawa 1–0 Zaglebie Lubin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Legia Warszawa56%fair 1.78 · @1.62
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.75
Zaglebie Lubin18%fair 5.41 · @5.40
2.49Expected goals
1.61Legia Warszawa xG
0.89Zaglebie Lubin xG
52%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Legia Warszawa 1.6 – 0.9 Zaglebie Lubin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Legia Warszawa to win✓
56%
1.78
1.62
Double chance
Legia Warszawa or draw✓
82%
1.23
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.93
Draw no bet
Legia Warszawa (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Zaglebie Lubin +1 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
1.10
First team to score
Legia Warszawa to score first✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Legia Warszawa / FT Legia Warszawa✓
33%
3.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.57
–
Recent results
Legia Warszawa – last 4
WDDD
6 Apr
@ Pogon Szczecin
2–0
W
13 Mar
@ Radomiak Radom
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Jagiellonia
2–2
D
13 Feb
@ GKS Katowice
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Zaglebie Lubin – last 5
LLLWW
7 Apr
@ Arka Gdynia
1–3
L
20 Mar
@ Motor Lublin
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Lech Poznan
0–1
L
2 Mar
vs Wisla Plock
2–0
W
23 Feb
@ Lechia Gdansk
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Legia Warszawa and Zaglebie Lubin.
What is the prediction for Legia Warszawa vs Zaglebie Lubin?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Legia Warszawa vs Zaglebie Lubin?
On our numbers Legia Warszawa have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Zaglebie Lubin 18%.
How many goals will there be in Legia Warszawa vs Zaglebie Lubin?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Legia Warszawa vs Zaglebie Lubin?
Our predicted score is Legia Warszawa 1–0 Zaglebie Lubin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Legia Warszawa vs Zaglebie Lubin?
Legia Warszawa vs Zaglebie Lubin (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Józef.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
