Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 24 April the Ekstraklasa brings Jagiellonia against Gornik Zabrze at Chorten Arena. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT. In the table, Jagiellonia are 9th, upper half, on 21 points after 13 matches; Gornik Zabrze are 2nd (among the top four) with 31.
Current form
Jagiellonia, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Korona Kielce, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Gornik Zabrze, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Zawisza Bydgoszcz, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Gornik Zabrze, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Jagiellonia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jagiellonia 1.4 xG, Gornik Zabrze 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jagiellonia 41%, draw 26%, Gornik Zabrze 33%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jagiellonia 1–1 Gornik Zabrze. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jagiellonia41%fair 2.47 · @2.30
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.50
Gornik Zabrze33%fair 2.99 · @2.85
2.53Expected goals
1.36Jagiellonia xG
1.18Gornik Zabrze xG
61%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Jagiellonia 1.4 – 1.2 Gornik Zabrze expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jagiellonia to win✗
41%
2.47
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.67
Draw no bet
Jagiellonia (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
Gornik Zabrze +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.12
First team to score
Jagiellonia to score first
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jagiellonia / FT Jagiellonia✗
24%
4.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.63
–
Recent results
Jagiellonia – last 6
DWLDWD
10 Apr
@ Korona Kielce
1–1
D
17 Mar
vs GKS Katowice
2–1
W
6 Mar
@ Lechia Gdansk
0–3
L
1 Mar
vs Legia Warszawa
2–2
D
26 Feb
@ Fiorentina
3–0
W
22 Feb
vs Radomiak Radom
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Gornik Zabrze – last 6
WDWDWD
8 Apr
@ Zawisza Bydgoszcz
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Widzew Łódź
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Raków Częstochowa
3–1
W
8 Mar
@ Motor Lublin
0–0
D
4 Mar
@ Lech Poznan
1–0
W
16 Feb
@ Nieciecza
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jagiellonia and Gornik Zabrze.
What is the prediction for Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze?
On our numbers Jagiellonia have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Gornik Zabrze 33%.
How many goals will there be in Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze?
Our predicted score is Jagiellonia 1–1 Gornik Zabrze, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze?
Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Chorten Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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