Zaglebie Lubin vs Nieciecza: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Friday 24 April: Zaglebie Lubin v Nieciecza in the Ekstraklasa, played at KGHM Zaglebie Arena.
Current form
Zaglebie Lubin, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Legia Warszawa, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Nieciecza, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Wisla Plock, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Zaglebie Lubin 1.7 xG, Nieciecza 1.2 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Zaglebie Lubin 52%, draw 25%, Nieciecza 23%.
Lower-risk option: Zaglebie Lubin or draw (77%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zaglebie Lubin 1–1 Nieciecza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Zaglebie Lubin52%fair 1.94 · @1.84
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.60
Nieciecza23%fair 4.28 · @4.00
2.87Expected goals
1.68Zaglebie Lubin xG
1.19Nieciecza xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–010%
2–08%
1–27%
0–17%
From our goals model: Zaglebie Lubin 1.7 – 1.2 Nieciecza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zaglebie Lubin to win✗
52%
1.94
1.84
Double chance
Zaglebie Lubin or draw✗
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.62
Draw no bet
Zaglebie Lubin (draw no bet)✗
69%
1.45
–
Asian handicap
Nieciecza +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.17
First team to score
Zaglebie Lubin to score first✓
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zaglebie Lubin / FT Zaglebie Lubin✗
30%
3.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.52
–
Recent results
Zaglebie Lubin – last 6
LLLLWW
17 Apr
@ Legia Warszawa
0–1
L
7 Apr
@ Arka Gdynia
1–3
L
20 Mar
@ Motor Lublin
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Lech Poznan
0–1
L
2 Mar
vs Wisla Plock
2–0
W
23 Feb
@ Lechia Gdansk
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Nieciecza – last 6
LWLLDL
19 Apr
vs Wisla Plock
1–3
L
6 Apr
vs Piast Gliwice
3–2
W
22 Mar
@ Lech Poznan
1–4
L
13 Mar
vs Motor Lublin
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Radomiak Radom
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Raków Częstochowa
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zaglebie Lubin and Nieciecza.
What is the prediction for Zaglebie Lubin vs Nieciecza?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Zaglebie Lubin vs Nieciecza?
On our numbers Zaglebie Lubin have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Nieciecza 23%.
How many goals will there be in Zaglebie Lubin vs Nieciecza?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zaglebie Lubin vs Nieciecza?
Our predicted score is Zaglebie Lubin 1–1 Nieciecza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Zaglebie Lubin vs Nieciecza?
Zaglebie Lubin vs Nieciecza (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at KGHM Zaglebie Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
