Arka Gdynia vs Gornik Zabrze: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gornik Zabrze travel to face Arka Gdynia on Wednesday 13 May in the Ekstraklasa, with Stadion Miejski w Gdyni the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT.
Current form
Arka Gdynia, last 5: DLDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Lech Poznan, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Gornik Zabrze, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Jagiellonia, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Gornik Zabrze, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for Arka Gdynia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arka Gdynia 1.0 xG, Gornik Zabrze 1.4 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arka Gdynia 28%, draw 27%, Gornik Zabrze 46%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arka Gdynia 1–1 Gornik Zabrze. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arka Gdynia28%fair 3.63 · @3.45
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @3.35
Gornik Zabrze46%fair 2.19 · @2.08
2.44Expected goals
1.03Arka Gdynia xG
1.41Gornik Zabrze xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
1–29%
0–09%
0–29%
From our goals model: Arka Gdynia 1.0 – 1.4 Gornik Zabrze expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gornik Zabrze to win✗
46%
2.19
2.08
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.85
Draw no bet
Gornik Zabrze (draw no bet)
62%
1.60
–
Asian handicap
Arka Gdynia +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
1.08
First team to score
Gornik Zabrze to score first✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gornik Zabrze / FT Gornik Zabrze✗
27%
3.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.22
–
Recent results
Arka Gdynia – last 6
DLDWLD
8 May
@ Lech Poznan
1–1
D
27 Apr
@ Piast Gliwice
1–4
L
12 Apr
@ Cracovia Krakow
2–2
D
7 Apr
vs Zaglebie Lubin
3–1
W
22 Mar
@ Korona Kielce
0–3
L
15 Mar
vs Widzew Łódź
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Gornik Zabrze – last 6
WWDWDW
24 Apr
@ Jagiellonia
2–1
W
8 Apr
@ Zawisza Bydgoszcz
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Widzew Łódź
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Raków Częstochowa
3–1
W
8 Mar
@ Motor Lublin
0–0
D
4 Mar
@ Lech Poznan
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arka Gdynia and Gornik Zabrze.
What is the prediction for Arka Gdynia vs Gornik Zabrze?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Arka Gdynia vs Gornik Zabrze?
On our numbers Arka Gdynia have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Gornik Zabrze 46%.
How many goals will there be in Arka Gdynia vs Gornik Zabrze?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arka Gdynia vs Gornik Zabrze?
Our predicted score is Arka Gdynia 1–1 Gornik Zabrze, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Arka Gdynia vs Gornik Zabrze?
Arka Gdynia vs Gornik Zabrze (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski w Gdyni.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
