Value bet: Jagiellonia to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRaków Częstochowa to win ✗42% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.50
Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Jagiellonia travel to face Raków Częstochowa on Wednesday 13 May in the Ekstraklasa, with zondacrypto Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, Raków Częstochowa are 16th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 14 matches; Jagiellonia are 9th (upper half) with 21.
Current form
Raków Częstochowa, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Korona Kielce, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Jagiellonia, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Gornik Zabrze, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Raków Częstochowa 1.6 xG, Jagiellonia 1.4 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Raków Częstochowa 42%, draw 24%, Jagiellonia 34%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Jagiellonia to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Raków Częstochowa 1–1 Jagiellonia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Raków Częstochowa42%fair 2.36 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.55
Jagiellonia34%fair 2.95 · @3.20
2.99Expected goals
1.55Raków Częstochowa xG
1.44Jagiellonia xG
63%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Raków Częstochowa 1.6 – 1.4 Jagiellonia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Raków Częstochowa to win✗
42%
2.36
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.65
Draw no bet
Raków Częstochowa (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Jagiellonia +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.13
First team to score
Raków Częstochowa to score first✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Raków Częstochowa / FT Raków Częstochowa✗
24%
4.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.50
–
Recent results
Raków Częstochowa – last 6
WWDLLL
8 May
vs Korona Kielce
2–0
W
19 Apr
vs Cracovia Krakow
4–1
W
4 Apr
vs Widzew Łódź
1–1
D
19 Mar
vs Fiorentina
1–2
L
15 Mar
@ Gornik Zabrze
1–3
L
12 Mar
@ Fiorentina
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Jagiellonia – last 6
LDWLDW
24 Apr
vs Gornik Zabrze
1–2
L
10 Apr
@ Korona Kielce
1–1
D
17 Mar
vs GKS Katowice
2–1
W
6 Mar
@ Lechia Gdansk
0–3
L
1 Mar
vs Legia Warszawa
2–2
D
26 Feb
@ Fiorentina
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Raków Częstochowa and Jagiellonia.
What is the prediction for Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia?
On our numbers Raków Częstochowa have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Jagiellonia 34%.
How many goals will there be in Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia?
Our predicted score is Raków Częstochowa 1–1 Jagiellonia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia?
Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at zondacrypto Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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