Lech Poznan 68%Draw 19%Arka Gdynia 13%Expected goals 2.31 – 0.97
68%
Betarazi pick
Lech Poznan to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultLech Poznan to win ✗68% · @1.40
Double chanceLech Poznan or draw ✓87% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.27
Lech Poznan vs Arka Gdynia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:30 WAT, Friday 8 May: Lech Poznan v Arka Gdynia in the Ekstraklasa, played at Enea Poznań.
Current form
Lech Poznan, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Nieciecza, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Arka Gdynia, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Piast Gliwice, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Lech Poznan, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Arka Gdynia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lech Poznan 2.3 xG, Arka Gdynia 1.0 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lech Poznan 68%, draw 19%, Arka Gdynia 13%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Lech Poznan to win (68%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lech Poznan 2–0 Arka Gdynia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lech Poznan68%fair 1.48 · @1.40
Draw19%fair 5.23 · @4.85
Arka Gdynia13%fair 7.50 · @6.75
3.28Expected goals
2.31Lech Poznan xG
0.97Arka Gdynia xG
60%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–18%
3–08%
3–18%
From our goals model: Lech Poznan 2.3 – 1.0 Arka Gdynia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lech Poznan to win✗
68%
1.48
1.40
Double chance
Lech Poznan or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.65
1.65
Draw no bet
Lech Poznan (draw no bet)
84%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Lech Poznan -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.65
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
First team to score
Lech Poznan to score first
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Lech Poznan ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lech Poznan / FT Lech Poznan✗
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.27
–
Recent results
Lech Poznan – last 6
WWWLLW
22 Mar
vs Nieciecza
4–1
W
19 Mar
@ Shakhtar Donetsk
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Zaglebie Lubin
1–0
W
12 Mar
vs Shakhtar Donetsk
1–3
L
4 Mar
vs Gornik Zabrze
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Raków Częstochowa
4–3
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Arka Gdynia – last 6
LDWLDW
27 Apr
@ Piast Gliwice
1–4
L
12 Apr
@ Cracovia Krakow
2–2
D
7 Apr
vs Zaglebie Lubin
3–1
W
22 Mar
@ Korona Kielce
0–3
L
15 Mar
vs Widzew Łódź
0–0
D
9 Mar
@ Wisla Plock
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lech Poznan and Arka Gdynia.
What is the prediction for Lech Poznan vs Arka Gdynia?
Our pick is Lech Poznan to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Lech Poznan vs Arka Gdynia?
On our numbers Lech Poznan have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Arka Gdynia 13%.
How many goals will there be in Lech Poznan vs Arka Gdynia?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lech Poznan vs Arka Gdynia?
Our predicted score is Lech Poznan 2–0 Arka Gdynia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Lech Poznan vs Arka Gdynia?
Lech Poznan vs Arka Gdynia (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Enea Poznań.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
