Raków Częstochowa v Korona Kielce Prediction & Expected Goals (8 May) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultRaków Częstochowa to win ✓57% · @1.81

Double chanceRaków Częstochowa or draw ✓81% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.73

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13

Raków Częstochowa vs Korona Kielce: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Korona Kielce travel to face Raków Częstochowa on Friday 8 May in the Ekstraklasa, with zondacrypto Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Raków Częstochowa are 16th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 14 matches; Korona Kielce are 11th (lower half) with 18.

Current form

Raków Częstochowa, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Cracovia Krakow, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Korona Kielce, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Piast Gliwice, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Raków Częstochowa 1.8 xG, Korona Kielce 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Raków Częstochowa 57%, draw 24%, Korona Kielce 19%.
Lower-risk option: Raków Częstochowa or draw (81%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Raków Częstochowa or draw (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Raków Częstochowa 1–0 Korona Kielce. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Raków Częstochowa57%fair 1.75 · @1.81

Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.70

Korona Kielce19%fair 5.29 · @4.10

2.80Expected goals

1.83Raków Częstochowa xG

0.97Korona Kielce xG

60%Both score

53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–011%

1–111%

2–010%

2–110%

3–06%

0–06%

From our goals model: Raków Częstochowa 1.8 – 1.0 Korona Kielce expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Raków Częstochowa to win ✓	57%	1.75	1.81
Double chance	Raków Częstochowa or draw ✓	81%	1.23	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	60%	1.66	1.73
Draw no bet	Raków Częstochowa (draw no bet) ✓	75%	1.33	–
Asian handicap	Korona Kielce +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	67%	1.49	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	76%	1.32	1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	53%	1.89	1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	69%	1.45	1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	84%	1.19	1.13
First team to score	Raków Częstochowa to score first ✓	61%	1.63	–
Half-time result	Raków Częstochowa ahead at half-time ✗	42%	2.40	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Raków Częstochowa / FT Raków Częstochowa ✗	36%	2.79	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.13	–

Raków Częstochowa – last 6

WDLLLW

19 Apr	vs Cracovia Krakow	4–1	W
4 Apr	vs Widzew Łódź	1–1	D
19 Mar	vs Fiorentina	1–2	L
15 Mar	@ Gornik Zabrze	1–3	L
12 Mar	@ Fiorentina	1–2	L
8 Mar	vs Pogon Szczecin	2–0	W

1.7Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

83%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Korona Kielce – last 6

DDLWLL

1 May	vs Piast Gliwice	1–1	D
10 Apr	vs Jagiellonia	1–1	D
6 Apr	@ Lechia Gdansk	2–4	L
22 Mar	vs Arka Gdynia	3–0	W
16 Mar	@ Pogon Szczecin	1–2	L
22 Feb	vs Lech Poznan	1–2	L

1.5Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

83%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Ekstraklasa table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Lech Poznan	13	10	2	1	+21	32
2	Gornik Zabrze	14	9	4	1	+11	31
3	Legia Warszawa	14	6	6	2	+10	24
4	Pogon Szczecin	13	7	3	3	+5	24
5	Wisla Krakow	14	7	3	4	+3	24
6	Zaglebie Lubin	14	6	5	3	+1	23
7	Piast Gliwice	14	6	4	4	+4	22
8	GKS Katowice	14	7	0	7	+5	21
9	Jagiellonia	13	7	0	6	0	21
10	Motor Lublin	14	5	4	5	-2	19
11	Korona Kielce	14	5	3	6	-7	18
12	Wisla Plock	13	4	3	6	-7	15
13	Widzew Łódź	14	2	8	4	+1	14
14	Radomiak Radom	14	4	2	8	-12	14
15	Cracovia Krakow	14	3	3	8	-7	12
16	Raków Częstochowa	14	4	0	10	-8	12
17	Slask Wroclaw	14	2	4	8	-8	10
18	Wieczysta Kraków	14	2	2	10	-10	8

Team

Pts

+21

+11

+10

-2

-7

-7

-12

-7

-8

-8

-10

More Ekstraklasa predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Raków Częstochowa vs Korona Kielce?

Our pick is Raków Częstochowa or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Raków Częstochowa vs Korona Kielce?

On our numbers Raków Częstochowa have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Korona Kielce 19%.

How many goals will there be in Raków Częstochowa vs Korona Kielce?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Raków Częstochowa vs Korona Kielce?

Our predicted score is Raków Częstochowa 1–0 Korona Kielce, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Raków Częstochowa vs Korona Kielce?

Raków Częstochowa vs Korona Kielce (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at zondacrypto Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Raków Częstochowa v Korona Kielce: numbers & prediction