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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Nieciecza v Legia Warszawa: numbers & prediction

Ekstraklasa · Poland · Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza
0–1
–
Nieciecza 22%Draw 23%Legia Warszawa 54% Expected goals 1.23 – 1.73
79%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultLegia Warszawa to win54% · @1.66
Double chanceLegia Warszawa or draw78% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score63% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210% · fair 10.49

Nieciecza vs Legia Warszawa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Nieciecza welcome Legia Warszawa to Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza for a Ekstraklasa fixture on Sunday 10 May (16:30 WAT).

Current form

Nieciecza, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to GKS Katowice, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.

Legia Warszawa, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Widzew Łódź, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Legia Warszawa, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Nieciecza.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Nieciecza 1.2 xG, Legia Warszawa 1.7 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Nieciecza 22%, draw 23%, Legia Warszawa 54%.
  • Lower-risk option: Legia Warszawa or draw (78%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nieciecza 1–1 Legia Warszawa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Nieciecza22%fair 4.47 · @4.65
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.95
Legia Warszawa54%fair 1.84 · @1.66
2.95Expected goals
1.23Nieciecza xG
1.73Legia Warszawa xG
63%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–210%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–06%

From our goals model: Nieciecza 1.2 – 1.7 Legia Warszawa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLegia Warszawa to win54%1.841.66
Double chanceLegia Warszawa or draw78%1.291.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score63%1.581.65
Draw no betLegia Warszawa (draw no bet)71%1.41–
Asian handicapNieciecza +1 (Asian handicap)66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals79%1.271.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals57%1.761.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals65%1.541.48
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals81%1.231.18
First team to scoreLegia Warszawa to score first55%1.81–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time40%2.52–
Half-time / full-timeHT Legia Warszawa / FT Legia Warszawa30%3.35–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210%10.49–

Recent results

Nieciecza – last 6

LWLWLL
3 May@ GKS Katowice1–4L
24 Apr@ Zaglebie Lubin2–1W
19 Aprvs Wisla Plock1–3L
6 Aprvs Piast Gliwice3–2W
22 Mar@ Lech Poznan1–4L
13 Marvs Motor Lublin1–2L
1.5Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Legia Warszawa – last 6

WWWDDD
1 Mayvs Widzew Łódź1–0W
17 Aprvs Zaglebie Lubin1–0W
6 Apr@ Pogon Szczecin2–0W
13 Mar@ Radomiak Radom1–1D
1 Mar@ Jagiellonia2–2D
13 Feb@ GKS Katowice1–1D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Nieciecza and Legia Warszawa.

Nieciecza vs Legia Warszawa head-to-head page →

Ekstraklasa table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Lech Poznan131021+2132
2Gornik Zabrze14941+1131
3Legia Warszawa14662+1024
4Pogon Szczecin13733+524
5Wisla Krakow14734+324
6Zaglebie Lubin14653+123
7Piast Gliwice14644+422
8GKS Katowice14707+521
9Jagiellonia13706021
10Motor Lublin14545-219
11Korona Kielce14536-718
12Wisla Plock13436-715
13Widzew Łódź14284+114
14Radomiak Radom14428-1214
15Cracovia Krakow14338-712
16Raków Częstochowa144010-812
17Slask Wroclaw14248-810
18Wieczysta Kraków142210-108

More Ekstraklasa predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nieciecza vs Legia Warszawa?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Nieciecza vs Legia Warszawa?

On our numbers Nieciecza have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Legia Warszawa 54%.

How many goals will there be in Nieciecza vs Legia Warszawa?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nieciecza vs Legia Warszawa?

Our predicted score is Nieciecza 1–1 Legia Warszawa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Nieciecza vs Legia Warszawa?

Nieciecza vs Legia Warszawa (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.