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Wisla Plock v Motor Lublin: numbers & prediction

Ekstraklasa · Poland · Stadion im. Kazimierza Gorskiego
0–4
FT
Wisla Plock 42%Draw 24%Motor Lublin 34% Expected goals 1.46 – 1.34
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultWisla Plock to win ✗42% · @2.18
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.52

Wisla Plock vs Motor Lublin: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 10 May the Ekstraklasa brings Wisla Plock against Motor Lublin at Stadion im. Kazimierza Gorskiego. Kick-off: 13:45 WAT. In the table, Wisla Plock are 12th, lower half, on 15 points after 13 matches; Motor Lublin are 10th (lower half) with 19.

Current form

Wisla Plock, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Radomiak Radom, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Motor Lublin, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Widzew Łódź, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Wisla Plock 1.5 xG, Motor Lublin 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Wisla Plock 42%, draw 24%, Motor Lublin 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Wisla Plock 1–1 Motor Lublin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Wisla Plock42%fair 2.38 · @2.18
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.50
Motor Lublin34%fair 2.97 · @3.05
2.79Expected goals
1.46Wisla Plock xG
1.34Motor Lublin xG
61%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%

From our goals model: Wisla Plock 1.5 – 1.3 Motor Lublin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWisla Plock to win ✗42%2.382.18
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.651.65
Draw no betWisla Plock (draw no bet) ✗56%1.80–
Asian handicapMotor Lublin +1 (Asian handicap) ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.321.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.901.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗69%1.451.38
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.191.13
First team to scoreWisla Plock to score first ✗49%2.04–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.42–
Half-time / full-timeHT Wisla Plock / FT Wisla Plock ✗24%4.25–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.52–

Recent results

Wisla Plock – last 6

LWWLLL
26 Aprvs Radomiak Radom0–1L
19 Apr@ Nieciecza3–1W
10 Aprvs Lechia Gdansk1–0W
4 Apr@ GKS Katowice0–1L
9 Marvs Arka Gdynia0–3L
2 Mar@ Zaglebie Lubin0–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Motor Lublin – last 6

LLDWWD
26 Apr@ Widzew Łódź0–2L
17 Apr@ GKS Katowice2–3L
6 Apr@ Radomiak Radom1–1D
20 Marvs Zaglebie Lubin1–0W
13 Mar@ Nieciecza2–1W
8 Marvs Gornik Zabrze0–0D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Wisla Plock and Motor Lublin.

Wisla Plock vs Motor Lublin head-to-head page →

Ekstraklasa table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Lech Poznan131021+2132
2Gornik Zabrze14941+1131
3Legia Warszawa14662+1024
4Pogon Szczecin13733+524
5Wisla Krakow14734+324
6Zaglebie Lubin14653+123
7Piast Gliwice14644+422
8GKS Katowice14707+521
9Jagiellonia13706021
10Motor Lublin14545-219
11Korona Kielce14536-718
12Wisla Plock13436-715
13Widzew Łódź14284+114
14Radomiak Radom14428-1214
15Cracovia Krakow14338-712
16Raków Częstochowa144010-812
17Slask Wroclaw14248-810
18Wieczysta Kraków142210-108

More Ekstraklasa predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Wisla Plock vs Motor Lublin?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Wisla Plock vs Motor Lublin?

On our numbers Wisla Plock have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Motor Lublin 34%.

How many goals will there be in Wisla Plock vs Motor Lublin?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Wisla Plock vs Motor Lublin?

Our predicted score is Wisla Plock 1–1 Motor Lublin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Wisla Plock vs Motor Lublin?

Wisla Plock vs Motor Lublin (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadion im. Kazimierza Gorskiego.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.