Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.70 – our chance 63% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultUtrecht to win ✗56% · @1.63
Double chanceUtrecht or draw ✓79% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18
Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:30 WAT, Sunday 22 February: Utrecht v PEC Zwolle in the Eredivisie, played at Stadion Galgenwaard. In the table, Utrecht are 14th, lower half, on 12 points after 12 matches; PEC Zwolle are 13th (lower half) with 12. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Utrecht 1.9 xG, PEC Zwolle 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Utrecht 56%, draw 23%, PEC Zwolle 21%.
Lower-risk option: Utrecht or draw (79%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.70 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Utrecht 1–1 PEC Zwolle. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Utrecht56%fair 1.78 · @1.63
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.95
PEC Zwolle21%fair 4.83 · @4.90
3.03Expected goals
1.88Utrecht xG
1.15PEC Zwolle xG
63%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Utrecht 1.9 – 1.1 PEC Zwolle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Utrecht to win✗
56%
1.78
1.63
Double chance
Utrecht or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.60
1.70 ▲
Draw no bet
Utrecht (draw no bet)
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
PEC Zwolle +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.17
First team to score
Utrecht to score first✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Utrecht ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Utrecht / FT Utrecht✗
34%
2.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.18
–
Recent results
Utrecht
No recent results on record.
PEC Zwolle – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Heerenveen
2–4
L
2.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Utrecht and PEC Zwolle.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle?
On our numbers Utrecht have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and PEC Zwolle 21%.
How many goals will there be in Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle?
Our predicted score is Utrecht 1–1 PEC Zwolle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle?
Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Galgenwaard.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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