Feyenoord vs Excelsior: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 15 March the Eredivisie brings Feyenoord against Excelsior at De Kuip. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Feyenoord are 2nd, among the top four, on 25 points after 12 matches; Excelsior are 15th (lower half) with 11. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Feyenoord, last 4: DLWW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with NAC Breda, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Feyenoord 2.7 xG, Excelsior 1.1 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 74% and GG at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Feyenoord 70%, draw 18%, Excelsior 13%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Feyenoord to win (70%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Feyenoord 2–1 Excelsior. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Feyenoord70%fair 1.44 · @1.30
Draw18%fair 5.57 · @5.00
Excelsior13%fair 7.99 · @8.50
3.83Expected goals
2.69Feyenoord xG
1.14Excelsior xG
60%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–18%
2–08%
3–07%
1–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Feyenoord 2.7 – 1.1 Excelsior expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Feyenoord to win✓
70%
1.44
1.30
Double chance
Feyenoord or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.70
Draw no bet
Feyenoord (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Feyenoord -1 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
First team to score
Feyenoord to score first✗
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Feyenoord ahead at half-time✗
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Feyenoord / FT Feyenoord✗
48%
2.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.17
–
Recent results
Feyenoord – last 4
DLWW
8 Mar
@ NAC Breda
3–3
D
1 Mar
@ Twente
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs Telstar
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs GO Ahead Eagles
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Excelsior – last 1
L
20 Feb
@ Fortuna Sittard
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Feyenoord and Excelsior.
What is the prediction for Feyenoord vs Excelsior?
Our pick is Feyenoord to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Feyenoord vs Excelsior?
On our numbers Feyenoord have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Excelsior 13%.
How many goals will there be in Feyenoord vs Excelsior?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Feyenoord vs Excelsior?
Our predicted score is Feyenoord 2–1 Excelsior, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Feyenoord vs Excelsior?
Feyenoord vs Excelsior (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at De Kuip.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Heracles0
NAC Breda0