Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Heracles to win @ 2.16 – our chance 50% vs 46% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHeracles to win ✗50% · @2.16
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.75
Heracles vs FC Volendam: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Heracles welcome FC Volendam to Asito Stadion for a Eredivisie fixture on Sunday 26 April (13:30 WAT).
Current form
Heracles, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Heerenveen, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.4 goals a game.
FC Volendam, last 4: LDWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Twente, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours FC Volendam, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.4 for Heracles.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Heracles 2.1 xG, FC Volendam 1.4 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Heracles 50%, draw 21%, FC Volendam 29%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Heracles to win @2.16 – the bookmaker implies 46%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (83%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Heracles 2–1 FC Volendam. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Heracles50%fair 2.02 · @2.16
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.75
FC Volendam29%fair 3.39 · @2.95
3.50Expected goals
2.09Heracles xG
1.41FC Volendam xG
65%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–19%
2–07%
2–27%
3–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Heracles 2.1 – 1.4 FC Volendam expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Heracles to win✗
50%
2.02
2.16 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.54
1.53
Draw no bet
Heracles (draw no bet)✗
63%
1.60
–
Asian handicap
FC Volendam +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.18
First team to score
Heracles to score first✗
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Heracles ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Heracles / FT Heracles✗
33%
2.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.75
–
Recent results
Heracles – last 5
LDLDL
5 Apr
@ Heerenveen
1–4
L
20 Mar
vs Excelsior
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ AZ Alkmaar
0–4
L
6 Mar
vs Utrecht
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ GO Ahead Eagles
0–4
L
0.4Scored / game
2.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
FC Volendam – last 4
LDWW
10 Apr
@ Twente
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs Feyenoord
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Groningen
3–2
W
13 Feb
vs PSV Eindhoven
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Heracles and FC Volendam.
What is the prediction for Heracles vs FC Volendam?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Heracles vs FC Volendam?
On our numbers Heracles have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Volendam 29%.
How many goals will there be in Heracles vs FC Volendam?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Heracles vs FC Volendam?
Our predicted score is Heracles 2–1 FC Volendam, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Heracles vs FC Volendam?
Heracles vs FC Volendam (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Asito Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Excelsior5
Utrecht0