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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

PEC Zwolle v Heracles: numbers & prediction

Eredivisie · Netherlands · IJsseldelta Stadion
1–0
FT
PEC Zwolle 49%Draw 20%Heracles 31% Expected goals 1.58 – 1.71
64%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.48Odds

Picks by market

ResultPEC Zwolle to win ✓49% · @1.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.58

PEC Zwolle vs Heracles: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Heracles travel to face PEC Zwolle on Sunday 3 May in the Eredivisie, with IJsseldelta Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 13:30 WAT.

Current form

PEC Zwolle, last 5: LDLDD Their latest outing: 1–6 defeat to PSV Eindhoven, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Heracles, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to FC Volendam, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give PEC Zwolle 1.6 xG, Heracles 1.7 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – PEC Zwolle 49%, draw 20%, Heracles 31%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.60.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: PEC Zwolle 1–2 Heracles. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

PEC Zwolle49%fair 2.04 · @1.45
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @4.65
Heracles31%fair 3.23 · @6.00
3.29Expected goals
1.58PEC Zwolle xG
1.71Heracles xG
62%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%

From our goals model: PEC Zwolle 1.6 – 1.7 Heracles expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPEC Zwolle to win ✓49%2.041.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.601.60
Draw no betPEC Zwolle (draw no bet) ✓61%1.63–
Asian handicapPEC Zwolle +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83%1.201.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗64%1.571.48
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓58%1.731.65
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓76%1.321.25
First team to scoreHeracles to score first ✗50%2.00–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗38%2.67–
Half-time / full-timeHT Heracles / FT Heracles ✗25%4.03–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.58–

Recent results

PEC Zwolle – last 6

LDLDDD
23 Apr@ PSV Eindhoven1–6L
12 Aprvs Excelsior2–2D
5 Apr@ GO Ahead Eagles0–5L
13 Marvs Groningen1–1D
8 Mar@ Sparta Rotterdam1–1D
1 Marvs Ajax0–0D
0.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Heracles – last 6

LLDLDL
26 Aprvs FC Volendam0–2L
5 Apr@ Heerenveen1–4L
20 Marvs Excelsior1–1D
15 Mar@ AZ Alkmaar0–4L
6 Marvs Utrecht0–0D
22 Feb@ GO Ahead Eagles0–4L
0.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between PEC Zwolle and Heracles.

PEC Zwolle vs Heracles head-to-head page →

Eredivisie table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1PSV Eindhoven12822+2526
2Feyenoord12741+1925
3Ajax12741+1725
4Twente12732+1824
5AZ Alkmaar12723+823
6Heerenveen12633+821
7Fortuna Sittard12552020
8GO Ahead Eagles12453-317
9Groningen12435+115
10Cambuur12435-215
11NEC Nijmegen12354-114
12Sparta Rotterdam12336-812
13PEC Zwolle12336-1112
14Utrecht12336-1312
15Excelsior12327-1311
16Telstar12246-710
17ADO Den Haag12237-99
18Willem II12039-293

More Eredivisie predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for PEC Zwolle vs Heracles?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win PEC Zwolle vs Heracles?

On our numbers PEC Zwolle have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Heracles 31%.

How many goals will there be in PEC Zwolle vs Heracles?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for PEC Zwolle vs Heracles?

Our predicted score is PEC Zwolle 1–2 Heracles, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is PEC Zwolle vs Heracles?

PEC Zwolle vs Heracles (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at IJsseldelta Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.