Wisla Krakow v Pogoń Siedlce Prediction & Expected Goals (24 May) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultWisla Krakow to win ✓64% · @1.33

Double chanceWisla Krakow or draw ✓84% · @1.03

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.77

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.17

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05

Wisla Krakow vs Pogoń Siedlce: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:30 WAT, Sunday 24 May: Wisla Krakow v Pogoń Siedlce in the I Liga, played at Synerise Arena - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana.

Current form

Wisla Krakow, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Chrobry Głogów, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 5. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Pogoń Siedlce, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Wisla Krakow, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Pogoń Siedlce.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Wisla Krakow 2.0 xG, Pogoń Siedlce 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 58% for GG.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Wisla Krakow 64%, draw 20%, Pogoń Siedlce 16%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.77.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Wisla Krakow 1–0 Pogoń Siedlce. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Wisla Krakow64%fair 1.57 · @1.33

Draw20%fair 4.98 · @4.60

Pogoń Siedlce16%fair 6.16 · @7.60

2.95Expected goals

1.99Wisla Krakow xG

0.96Pogoń Siedlce xG

58%Both score

58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–010%

2–010%

1–110%

2–110%

3–07%

3–17%

From our goals model: Wisla Krakow 2.0 – 1.0 Pogoń Siedlce expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Wisla Krakow to win ✓	64%	1.57	1.33
Double chance	Wisla Krakow or draw ✓	84%	1.19	1.03
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	58%	1.71	1.77
Draw no bet	Wisla Krakow (draw no bet) ✓	80%	1.25	–
Asian handicap	Wisla Krakow -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	61%	1.63	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	79%	1.26	1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	58%	1.71	1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	63%	1.58	1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	80%	1.26	1.22
First team to score	Wisla Krakow to score first ✓	64%	1.56	–
Half-time result	Wisla Krakow ahead at half-time ✓	45%	2.24	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Wisla Krakow / FT Wisla Krakow ✓	39%	2.56	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.05	–

Wisla Krakow – last 6

WDDWWD

8 May	vs Chrobry Głogów	2–0	W
24 Apr	vs Puszcza Niepołomice	2–2	D
19 Apr	@ Ruch Chorzów	1–1	D
6 Apr	vs Górnik Łęczna	3–2	W
13 Mar	vs Miedz Legnica	3–2	W
1 Mar	vs Znicz Pruszków	1–1	D

2.0Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

83%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Pogoń Siedlce – last 6

WLLWLD

19 Apr	@ Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	2–0	W
12 Apr	vs Tychy 71	0–1	L
22 Mar	vs Chrobry Głogów	1–2	L
15 Mar	vs Znicz Pruszków	1–0	W
6 Mar	@ Puszcza Niepołomice	0–3	L
27 Feb	vs Górnik Łęczna	1–1	D

0.8Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Polonia Warszawa	14	7	4	3	+8	25
2	ŁKS Łódź	14	7	4	3	+5	25
3	Polonia Bytom	14	6	6	2	+4	24
4	Lechia Gdansk	14	7	1	6	+3	22
5	Ruch Chorzów	14	6	4	4	+3	22
6	Nieciecza	14	6	4	4	+2	22
7	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	14	6	3	5	+6	21
8	Miedz Legnica	14	5	5	4	+7	20
9	Warta Poznań	14	6	1	7	0	19
10	Pogoń Siedlce	14	5	4	5	0	19
11	Stal Mielec	14	5	4	5	-8	19
12	Arka Gdynia	14	5	3	6	+2	18
13	Stal Rzeszów	14	5	3	6	-7	18
14	Chrobry Głogów	14	3	6	5	-2	15
15	Podbeskidzie	14	2	9	3	-3	15
16	Puszcza Niepołomice	14	4	2	8	-4	14
17	Unia Skierniewice	14	4	2	8	-6	14
18	Odra Opole	14	3	3	8	-10	12

Team

Pts

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

-8

-7

-2

-3

-4

-6

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Wisla Krakow vs Pogoń Siedlce?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Wisla Krakow vs Pogoń Siedlce?

On our numbers Wisla Krakow have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Pogoń Siedlce 16%.

How many goals will there be in Wisla Krakow vs Pogoń Siedlce?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Wisla Krakow vs Pogoń Siedlce?

Our predicted score is Wisla Krakow 1–0 Pogoń Siedlce, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Wisla Krakow vs Pogoń Siedlce?

Wisla Krakow vs Pogoń Siedlce (I Liga) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Synerise Arena - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Wisla Krakow v Pogoń Siedlce: numbers & prediction

Wisla Krakow