Emmen travel to face Jong AZ on Monday 9 March in the Eerste Divisie, with AFAS Trainingscomplex the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Jong AZ are 19th, in the drop zone, on 0 points after 0 matches; Emmen are 6th (upper half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Jong AZ, last 3: LDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Vitesse, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Emmen, last 4: LDLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Willem II, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Jong AZ, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.3 for Emmen.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jong AZ 2.1 xG, Emmen 1.7 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 69% and GG at 67%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jong AZ 48%, draw 21%, Emmen 32%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.38.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jong AZ 2–1 Emmen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jong AZ48%fair 2.10 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.90
Emmen32%fair 3.17 · @3.00
3.83Expected goals
2.13Jong AZ xG
1.69Emmen xG
67%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
1–18%
2–27%
1–27%
3–16%
3–25%
From our goals model: Jong AZ 2.1 – 1.7 Emmen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Jong AZ
Emmen
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
+20%
-3%
Goals conceded vs average
+26%
+15%
Our expected goals here
2.49
1.93
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jong AZ to win✗
48%
2.10
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.50
1.38
Draw no bet
Jong AZ (draw no bet)✗
60%
1.66
–
Asian handicap
Emmen +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.16
1.13
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.70
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.30
First team to score
Jong AZ to score first
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Jong AZ ahead at half-time✗
38%
2.61
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jong AZ / FT Jong AZ✗
30%
3.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.92
–
Recent results
Jong AZ – last 3
LDW
27 Feb
@ Vitesse
0–2
L
23 Feb
vs Den Bosch
2–2
D
13 Feb
@ FC OSS
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Emmen – last 4
LDLL
27 Feb
vs Willem II
0–3
L
23 Feb
vs Jong Ajax
0–0
D
20 Feb
vs Jong PSV U21
2–3
L
13 Feb
@ Dordrecht
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jong AZ and Emmen.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Jong AZ vs Emmen?
On our numbers Jong AZ have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Emmen 32%.
How many goals will there be in Jong AZ vs Emmen?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jong AZ vs Emmen?
Our predicted score is Jong AZ 2–1 Emmen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Jong AZ vs Emmen?
Jong AZ vs Emmen (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Monday 9 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at AFAS Trainingscomplex.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
